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2861 Detached Cir SE
D+ Composite 48.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$240,000

2861 Detached Cir SE · Palm Bay, FL 32909
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 948 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1985 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sold entry

Key facts

  • Landscaped backyard
  • Attached garage
  • Move-in ready home

Tags

MOVE-IN READY HOMEMODERN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLANDSCAPED BACKYARDATTACHED GARAGECENTRAL AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (6.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 759 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1111 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,706 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.67%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$126,010
Equity at exit
$216,211
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.63×
Total profit
$378,371
Equity at exit
$466,267

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32909

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
1111
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,613/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,995
Max offer price $223,490
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1625 Santos St SE Unit A Palm Bay, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 19d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-02-05
    soldstatus $245,000
  2. 2026-02-03
    soldstatus $245,000 10-char remark
    Show marketing remark (10 chars)

    Sold entry

  3. 2026-02-03
    soldstatus $245,000 Closed 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (10 chars)

    Sold entry

  4. 2026-02-03
    listed $245,000 10-char remark
    Show marketing remark (10 chars)

    Sold entry

  5. 2026-01-15
    status Pending 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  6. 2026-01-15
    status Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  7. 2025-12-17
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  8. 2025-12-17
    status Pending 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  9. 2025-12-04
    price $240,000 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  10. 2025-12-04
    price $240,000
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  11. 2025-11-14
    status Active
  12. 2025-11-13
    price $245,000
  13. 2025-11-07
    historical
  14. 2025-11-06
    status Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  15. 2025-11-06
    price $245,000 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  16. 2025-10-17
    price $255,000
  17. 2025-09-15
    historical 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  18. 2025-08-14
    price $265,000
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  19. 2025-08-14
    price $265,000 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  20. 2025-08-08
    listed $275,000 Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming Move-In Ready Home in Palm Bay! Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring a bright open layout with abundant natural light and stylish flooring throughout. The modern kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, opening to a comfortable living and dining area perfect for gatherings. Bedrooms are spacious and inviting, with the primary suite boasting a private bath. Enjoy a landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining, plus an attached garage and central air. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and major roadways.

  21. 2025-08-07
    listed $260,000 Active
  22. 2024-03-08
    soldstatus $157,500
  23. 2024-02-27
    soldstatus $157,500 Closed
  24. 2024-02-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2024-02-16
    price $185,000
  26. 2023-12-29
    listed $210,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,613 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,613 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,525
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,613
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,802
− Management
−$1,802
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$5,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,276
After-tax cash flow
$155/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Bay

Score
72/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#6458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Bay, FL
County
Brevard County · 602,871 people
City population
132,211
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Population (ZIP)
41,804
Household income
$79,977
Rent vs Own
17.3% rent · 82.7% own
Severe rent burden
697.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.81%
Current HPI
330.8595
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.7% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Sold (MLS) $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Sold (MLS) $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Pending SCMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $240,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $240,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Relisted SCMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $245,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $255,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $265,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $260,000 SCMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
  • 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $157,500 SCMLS
  • 2024-02-18 Contingent SCMLS
  • 2024-02-16 Price Changed $185,000 SCMLS
  • 2023-12-29 Listed $210,000 SCMLS

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,613 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…