283 Breck St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home in the 14609 Beechwood Neighborhood! This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom Colonial is waiting for your creativity to make it your own! The first floor features 2 living spaces, as well as a dining area that flows seamlessly into the eat-in kitchen. Follow the original hardwoods up to the second floor where you will find 3 generous sized bedrooms, and a full bathroom with a walk-in shower. Enjoy peace of mind for many years with a 5 year old roof, and several vinyl replacement windows throughout! A partially fenced back yard is a huge bonus to this property, with plenty of room to enjoy summer gatherings, BBQ's and other fun! No delayed negotiations, so snag it before it is
Key facts
- 5 year old roof
- Original hardwoods
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/previously built structure
- Construction: Composite siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Partial fence; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen (included above)
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Combined living/dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.20%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Leighton Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,084 (-1%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $69 | 89 |
| 217 Breck St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 962 (-12%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $68 | 68 |
| 198 Illinois St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,103 (+1%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $181 | 66 |
| 34 Van Bergh Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+5%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 1014 Garson Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,113 (+2%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $162 | 60 |
| 115 Allandale Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 65 Van Bergh Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+10%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $171 | 52 |
| 200 Wisconsin St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+3%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $192 | 51 |
| 103 Parsells Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+13%) | 6mo | $134,500 | $109 | 50 |
| 36 Allandale Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+12%) | 6mo | $198,000 | $162 | 46 |
| 970 Atlantic Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,249 (+14%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $168 | 42 |
| 109 De Mallie St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+12%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $114 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $38,934
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $133,500
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14609
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $665/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $784 | -5% $756 | +0% $727 | +5% $699 | +10% $671 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $593 | -5% $660 | +0% $727 | +5% $795 | +10% $862 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $778 | -0.5pp $753 | base $727 | +0.5pp $701 | +1.0pp $675 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 14 Beechwood St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 500 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 250 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,675 | $2.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 254 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 933 University Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1295 | $3,815 | $2.94 | 4d | 12 | 0.52mi |
| 1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 11d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 636 University Ave Apt 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 21 Rundel Park Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,099 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 593 Park Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| — Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16 Cummings St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 16 Cummings St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 30 Edgerton St Unit 30-06 Edgerton Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,425 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 36 Morningside Park Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1600 East Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $2,875 | $3.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 222 Ellison St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 147 5th St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,030 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1650 East Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 563 | $1,425 | $2.53 | 4d | 22 | 0.99mi |
| 52 Frances St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,595 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 474 East Ave Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $2,800 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 405 Alexander St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,425 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 395 Alexander St Unit UN12 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 241 Norris Dr Unit D Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,500 | $1.82 | 11d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 241 Norris Dr Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 21 Arnold Park Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 4d | 15 | 1.12mi |
| 294 Barrington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1131 | $1,750 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 209 S Goodman St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9 Rowley St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,550 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $665 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$512/yr (+$43/mo · 77.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$665
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $7,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,809
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,274
- Household income
- $64,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2183.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.57%
- Current HPI
- 328.7053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.89%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $665 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…