3579 E Warbler Ln · Kingman, AZ 86409

$59,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Land public records · 104 Days on market

Built 1971 5,663 sqft lot $83/sqft · 36% below area Est $94k · 36% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable home opportunity in Kingman, Arizona. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom property sits on its own lot with a large fenced yard offering space for pets, parking, or outdoor living. Inside you ll find a spacious living room along with forced heating and air conditioning for year round comfort. The home also features a natural gas stove and water heater. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This property offers potential as a primary residence or investment property.

Key facts

• Natural gas stove
• Large fenced yard
• Water heater

Tags

• LARGE FENCED YARD
• NATURAL GAS STOVE
• WATER HEATER
• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $587 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
• Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 3.6% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
• Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 643 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.05%
• Cash-on-cash: 41.97%
• DSCR: 2.87
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $93,796
• List price: $59,900
• Delta: -36.14%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.46×
• Total profit: $24,525
• Equity at exit: $8,931

10-year hold

• IRR: 41.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.42×
• Total profit: $57,282
• Equity at exit: $5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 86409

• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 643
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,189 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$314
• Tax from tax record: −$14 /mo · $165/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$250
• Net cashflow: $587

Break-even live

Break-even rent $447

Max offer price $59,900

Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $621	-5% $604	+0% $587	+5% $570	+10% $553
Rent	-10% $493	-5% $540	+0% $587	+5% $634	+10% $681
Rate	-1.0pp $617	-0.5pp $602	base $587	+0.5pp $571	+1.0pp $555

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,975
• Closing costs: $1,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3600 E Thompson Ave Kingman, AZ	1.0	1.0	600	$800	$1.33	45d	1	1.31mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $59,900 Active 104 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $59,900 Active 103 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $59,900 Active 102 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $59,900 Active 101 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $59,900 Active 99 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $59,900 Active 98 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $59,900 Active 96 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $59,900 Active 95 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $59,900 Active 94 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 93 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 88 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 87 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
17. 2026-03-06
    listed $59,900 Active 503-char remark

    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Affordable home opportunity in Kingman, Arizona. This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom property sits on its own lot with a large fenced yard offering space for pets, parking, or outdoor living. Inside you ll find a spacious living room along with forced heating and air conditioning for year round comfort. The home also features a natural gas stove and water heater. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. This property offers potential as a primary residence or investment property.

18. 2024-08-20
    listed $69,900 Active
19. 2006-03-30
    soldstatus $118,650
20. 2004-11-17
    soldstatus $30,000
21. 2001-08-09
    soldstatus $21,000
22. 1997-04-09
    soldstatus $23,000
23. 1996-03-29
    soldstatus $24,000
24. 1996-01-22
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $165 · $14/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $395 · $33/mo
• Expected delta: +$231/yr (+$19/mo · 140.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,270
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,355
• − Property taxes: −$165
• − Insurance: −$300
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,142
• − Management: −$1,142
• − Depreciation: −$1,743
• Taxable income: $6,425
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,542
• After-tax cash flow: $5,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kingman Unified School District (79598)
• NCES district ID: 0400295
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $36,760
• Composite: 17.87/100
• National rank: #9002
• State rank: #179 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Kingman

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #5
• US rank: #2014

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Mohave County · 181,906 people
• City population: 60,489
• Metro: Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 30,365
• Household income: $50,852
• Rent vs Own: 31.4% rent · 68.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 688.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 209,184 people
• By 2030: 209,674 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 205,897 · -1.6%
• By 2050: 196,810 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 169,454 · -19.0%
• By 2100: 136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -158.90%
• Current HPI: 280.1884
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.33%
• Metro: Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+252.4% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-06 Listed $59,900 WARDEX
• 2024-08-20 Listed $69,900 WARDEX
• 2006-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $118,650 Public Records
• 2004-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
• 2001-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
• 1997-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
• 1996-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
• 1996-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $165 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.