1206 Hazel St · Texarkana, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just in time for summer! Get ready to enjoy this home with an in-ground pool—perfect for warm days ahead. Call the pool guys and get it opened for months of family fun. The pool is fenced for added safety, and there's a fireplace inside for cozy evenings. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential with a few updates already in place. It features a garage in the back and is priced to sell. With a little TLC, this could be the perfect home for you!
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Fenced pool
- Fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.1% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
- Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Highland Park El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 364 students, 97% FRL); Texas Middle (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,413 students, 75% FRL); Texas H S (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D-, #634 of 1,632 statewide, top 39%, 1,719 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.35%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,912
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -45.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1302 Hickory St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,532 (-4%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $39 | 62 |
| 1520 Hickory St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (-7%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 2412 Glendale Ave | 0.96mi | 3/1.5 | 1,717 (+8%) | 2mo | $203,500 | $119 | 49 |
| 2302 Locust St | 0.96mi | 3/1.0 | 1,671 (+5%) | 10mo | $173,500 | $104 | 45 |
| 1200 Garland Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-19%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $174 | 44 |
| 1624 Linden Ave | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,508 (-6%) | 15mo | $114,900 | $76 | 34 |
| 1823 Garland | 0.78mi | 3/1.5 | 1,426 (-11%) | 15mo | $99,000 | $69 | 33 |
| 1902 Hickory Street St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-14%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $124 | 28 |
| 1222 Garland Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (+16%) | 23mo | $135,000 | $73 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $14,336
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $41,857
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 16 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 24.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $159,250 ($94/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 85 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 387
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,341/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $485 | -5% $464 | +0% $443 | +5% $422 | +10% $401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $337 | -5% $390 | +0% $443 | +5% $496 | +10% $549 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $481 | -0.5pp $462 | base $443 | +0.5pp $424 | +1.0pp $404 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2101 Pecan St Texarkana, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,125 | $0.77 | 93d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3302 Anthony Dr Texarkana, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $850 | $0.49 | 93d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 722 W 34th St Texarkana, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1298 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 93d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2405 Tyler Ln Texarkana, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $1,890 | $0.99 | 93d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3801 Magnolia St Unit MG01 Texarkana, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 93d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3514 Sabine Ave Texarkana, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,845 | $1.15 | 93d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $74,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $74,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $74,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $74,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $74,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $74,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $74,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $74,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $74,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $74,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $74,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $74,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $74,900 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $74,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $74,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $74,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $74,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $74,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $74,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $74,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $74,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $74,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $74,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $74,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $74,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $74,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $74,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $74,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $74,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $74,900 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $74,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $74,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $74,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $74,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $74,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $74,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $74,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $74,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $74,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $74,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-17price $74,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,341 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,341 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$2,341
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $4,462
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,071
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, but has potential for substantial value increase with updates.
Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows have peeling paint and appear to be in poor condition.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior siding is peeling and in poor condition, indicating significant deterioration.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe peeling and damage
- Major exterior paint — Significant peeling and fading
- Major interior walls — Likely outdated and in need of repainting
- Major flooring — Likely outdated and in need of replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting and repainting — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both new flooring — Improves living space and adds value ↑
- Both exterior siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texarkana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842480
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,692
- Composite
- 31.87/100
- National rank
- #5867
- State rank
- #472 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texarkana
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #3241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texarkana, TX
- County
- Bowie County · 94,699 people
- City population
- 61,238
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,866
- Household income
- $45,995
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.14%
- Current HPI
- 147.9402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $79,900 TBOR
- 2021-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-10-08 Sold (MLS) — TBOR
- 2021-06-30 Listed $88,000 TBOR
- 2020-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-03-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,341 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…