Fourplex
221 5th St · Ellwood City, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
Key facts
- Updated units
- 5,401 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $554/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.0% vs local median 5.3% in Ellwood City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#610 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Ellwood City Area SD (town): math 28% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #334 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $130k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.26%
- DSCR
- 3.81
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $116,781
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 66.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.75×
- Total profit
- $283,537
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16117
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$864
- Net cashflow
- $2,214
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 3.5 | $4,116 |
| #1 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,029 |
| #2 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,029 |
| #3 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,029 |
| #4 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,029 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,115 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-05-18price $150,000 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
-
2026-04-16price $154,900 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
-
2026-04-15status Active 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
-
2026-03-25historical Contingent 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
-
2026-03-09price $159,900 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
-
2026-01-22$164,500 Active 732-char remark
Show marketing remark (732 chars)
Versatile mixed-use opportunity in Ellwood City! This solid 4 unit building offers 2 street-level commercial units & 2 second floor residential apartments, making it ideal for investors or owner-operators. Three units have been updated & include attractive luxury vinyl flooring. One street level unit is ready for renovations & updates, providing added value. On-street parking is available out front for the commercial units, with 2 off-street spaces in the rear for the residential apartments. Live upstairs while operating your business below, or add this income-producing property to your portfolio. With flexibility, multiple income options, & value all in one package, this property has a lot to offer.
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2023-11-08historical $595
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2023-10-05price $595
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2023-08-17price $650
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2019-11-27status Under Contract 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Ideal investment property located convenient to the Ellwood City, PA business district. The property consists of 3 apartment units, all occupied, and I unit currently used as a barbershop. The property includes all new electric, and renovated flooring, plumbing, and painting. Separate heating and hot water is provided to the barbershop and two upstairs apartments. Apt#3 has a separate furnace and hot water tank. A two stall garage is located at the rear of the property, and on-street parking is available at the front.
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2019-11-26soldstatus $129,600 Sold 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Ideal investment property located convenient to the Ellwood City, PA business district. The property consists of 3 apartment units, all occupied, and I unit currently used as a barbershop. The property includes all new electric, and renovated flooring, plumbing, and painting. Separate heating and hot water is provided to the barbershop and two upstairs apartments. Apt#3 has a separate furnace and hot water tank. A two stall garage is located at the rear of the property, and on-street parking is available at the front.
-
2019-08-25historical Contingent 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Ideal investment property located convenient to the Ellwood City, PA business district. The property consists of 3 apartment units, all occupied, and I unit currently used as a barbershop. The property includes all new electric, and renovated flooring, plumbing, and painting. Separate heating and hot water is provided to the barbershop and two upstairs apartments. Apt#3 has a separate furnace and hot water tank. A two stall garage is located at the rear of the property, and on-street parking is available at the front.
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2019-07-11$160,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Ideal investment property located convenient to the Ellwood City, PA business district. The property consists of 3 apartment units, all occupied, and I unit currently used as a barbershop. The property includes all new electric, and renovated flooring, plumbing, and painting. Separate heating and hot water is provided to the barbershop and two upstairs apartments. Apt#3 has a separate furnace and hot water tank. A two stall garage is located at the rear of the property, and on-street parking is available at the front.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,950
- − Management
- −$3,950
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $25,713
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,171
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ellwood City Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209240
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,230
- Composite
- 35.49/100
- National rank
- #4921
- State rank
- #334 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ellwood City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #610
- US rank
- #5866
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ellwood City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,013
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,781 people
- By 2030
- 77,978 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 69,522 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 61,344 · -25.0%
- By 2075
- 45,027 · -44.9%
- By 2100
- 31,305 · -61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.8% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+9.0 2008: R+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.81%
- Current HPI
- 257.3336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $150,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $154,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $159,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $164,500 West Penn MLS
- 2023-11-08 Rental Removed $595 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-05 Price Changed $595 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-17 Price Changed $650 APPFOLIO
- 2019-11-27 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $129,600 West Penn MLS
- 2019-08-25 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2019-07-11 Listed $160,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…