8201 Deland Ave · Lakewood Park, FL 34951

$338,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,477 sqft · Land · 70 Days on market

Built 2025 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• DSCR +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to our Prescott floor plan. The thoughtfully designed single-story home offers effortless flow and modern finishes. This open-concept layout connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a bright and inviting central space for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances. The private owner's suite includes a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath with dual vanities. Two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for whatever fits your needs. The covered patio provides relaxing outdoor space and easy access to the back yard. With its functional layout and timeless style, the Prescott delivers comfort and convenience, all on one level.

Key facts

• Private bath
• Walk-in closet
• Open layout

Tags

• LAKEWOOD PARK COMMUNITY
• OPEN LAYOUT
• WELL-EQUIPPED KITCHEN
• PRIVATE BATH
• DUAL VANITY SINKS
• WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot about 0.28 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre), paved road access; Permit number: 2506-009259; Builder license: CGC1517458
• HOA & community: No association

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage (19 x 20) with garage door opener; Driveway
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One level; Northwest facing; Completed new construction (projected completion 2026-07-27)
• Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Century Complete (Model: PRESCOTT-A)
• Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Other exterior features

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric, heat pump); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Open floorplan; Stone counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Double-pane/insulated thermal windows
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $339k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-942/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $325k (4.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (28.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $243k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#719 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,426/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 140% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $55k; list at $339k implies a 516% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $242,598 (28.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.72% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.02%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.99%
• DSCR: 0.96
• GRM: 11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-60,108
• Equity at exit: $50,545

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-59,499
• Equity at exit: $29,310

Cash invested: $94,917 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34951

• Home prices YoY: -23.6%
• Active inventory: 292
• Price-to-rent: 11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,426 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,778
• Tax from tax record: −$76 /mo · $913/yr
• Insurance: −$141
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$509
• Net cashflow: $-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,525

Max offer price $325,121

Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $84,748
• Closing costs: $10,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7500 Pensacola Rd Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1125	$2,150	$1.91	14d	1	0.46mi
7704 Pacific Ave Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1719	$2,500	$1.45	14d	1	0.51mi
7403 Winter Garden Pkwy Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1372	$2,200	$1.60	21d	1	0.54mi
7503 Paso Robles Blvd Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1260	$2,000	$1.59	23d	1	0.61mi
6906 Ocala Ave Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1175	$1,955	$1.66	14d	1	0.74mi
8674 Pavia St Fort Pierce, FL	4.0	2.0	1824	$2,600	$1.43	21d	1	0.93mi
5510 Shannon Dr Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1594	$2,350	$1.47	14d	1	1.20mi
5234 Oakland Lake Cir Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1460	$2,300	$1.58	14d	1	1.28mi
985 23rd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1176	$2,200	$1.87	21d	1	1.28mi
5154 Armina Pl Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1477	$2,350	$1.59	14d	1	1.34mi
2450 8th Ave SW Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1388	$2,100	$1.51	21d	1	1.39mi
5082 Armina Pl Fort Pierce, FL	3.0	2.0	1464	$3,000	$2.05	23d	1	1.42mi

Listing history 37 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $338,990 Active 70 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $338,990 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   remarks 699-char remark
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $338,990 Active 68 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $338,990 Active 67 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $338,990 Active 65 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $338,990 Active 64 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $335,990 Active 62 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $335,990 Active 61 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $335,990 Active 60 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $335,990 Active 59 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $335,990 Active 56 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $335,990 Active 55 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $335,990 Active 54 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,990 Active 53 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,990 Active 52 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $335,990 Active 51 DOM
18. 2026-05-15
    price $335,990 738-char remark

    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Welcome to our Prescott floor plan. The thoughtfully designed single-story home offers effortless flow and modern finishes. This open-concept layout connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, creating a bright and inviting central space for daily living and entertaining. The kitchen features white shaker cabinets, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances. The private owner's suite includes a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath with dual vanities. Two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for whatever fits your needs. The covered patio provides relaxing outdoor space and easy access to the back yard. With its functional layout and timeless style, the Prescott delivers comfort and convenience, all on one level.

19. 2026-05-14
    price $335,990 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Prescott Plan features an airy open layout with a seamless transition between the Living Room, a well-equipped Kitchen, and a separate Dining Area, ideal for entertaining. The kitchen stands out with its beautiful cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, including a range with a microwave hood and dishwasher. The serene primary suite includes a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a generous walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a convenient two-car garage, and energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows.

20. 2026-05-14
    price $335,990

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Prescott Plan features an airy open layout with a seamless transition between the Living Room, a well-equipped Kitchen, and a separate Dining Area, ideal for entertaining. The kitchen stands out with its beautiful cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, including a range with a microwave hood and dishwasher. The serene primary suite includes a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a generous walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a convenient two-car garage, and energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows.

21. 2026-04-10
    listed $331,990 Active 738-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Prescott Plan features an airy open layout with a seamless transition between the Living Room, a well-equipped Kitchen, and a separate Dining Area, ideal for entertaining. The kitchen stands out with its beautiful cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, including a range with a microwave hood and dishwasher. The serene primary suite includes a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a generous walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a convenient two-car garage, and energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows.

22. 2026-04-10
    listed $331,990 Active 561-char remark

    Show marketing remark (561 chars)

    The Prescott Plan features an airy open layout with a seamless transition between the Living Room, a well-equipped Kitchen, and a separate Dining Area, ideal for entertaining. The kitchen stands out with its beautiful cabinetry, granite countertops, and stainless-steel appliances, including a range with a microwave hood and dishwasher. The serene primary suite includes a private bath with dual vanity sinks and a generous walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a convenient two-car garage, and energy-efficient Low-E insulated dual-pane vinyl windows.

23. 2026-04-09
    listed $331,990 Active
24. 2025-03-28
    soldstatus $55,000
25. 2025-03-25
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
26. 2025-03-11
    status Pending
27. 2025-02-09
    historical Active Under Contract
28. 2024-12-22
    listed $59,000 Active
29. 2024-12-10
    historical
30. 2024-06-10
    listed $67,500 Active
31. 2024-05-31
    historical
32. 2024-03-09
    price $69,000
33. 2023-11-24
    listed $75,000 Active
34. 2022-05-14
    soldstatus $47,500
35. 2022-05-10
    soldstatus $47,500 Closed
36. 2022-04-20
    status Pending
37. 2022-03-26
    listed $47,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $913 · $76/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,814 · $234/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,900/yr (+$158/mo · 208.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,112
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,989
• − Property taxes: −$913
• − Insurance: −$1,695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,329
• − Management: −$2,329
• − Depreciation: −$9,862
• Taxable loss: −$7,004
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,681
• After-tax cash flow: $739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Lucie
• NCES district ID: 1201770
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,737
• Composite: 37.28/100
• National rank: #4449
• State rank: #51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Park

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #719
• US rank: #15407

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lakewood Park, FL
• County: Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• Population (ZIP): 17,148
• Household income: $63,122
• Rent vs Own: 11.7% rent · 88.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 140.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 338,016 people
• By 2030: 355,687 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 385,521 · +14.1%
• By 2050: 406,106 · +20.1%
• By 2075: 441,054 · +30.5%
• By 2100: 436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -106.06%
• Current HPI: 343.1376
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+607.3% since first listed

20 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $335,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $335,990 RAIRCMLS
• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $335,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-10 Listed $331,990 Zillow
• 2026-04-10 Listed $331,990 RAIRCMLS
• 2026-04-09 Listed $331,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
• 2025-03-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Beaches MLS
• 2025-03-11 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2025-02-09 Contingent — Beaches MLS
• 2024-12-22 Listed $59,000 Beaches MLS
• 2024-12-10 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2024-06-10 Listed $67,500 Beaches MLS
• 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2024-03-09 Price Changed $69,000 Beaches MLS
• 2023-11-24 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS
• 2022-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
• 2022-05-10 Sold (MLS) $47,500 Beaches MLS
• 2022-04-20 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2022-03-26 Listed $47,500 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+21.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $913 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.