205 E Saint Louis St · West Frankfort, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$19,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
Key facts
- Built 1949
- Listed 34 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($884 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.1% vs local median 5.9% in West Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,210 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Frankfort CUSD 168 (town): math 6% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 2464% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 120.85%
- DSCR
- 6.38
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $32,527
- Equity at exit
- $2,967
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.35×
- Total profit
- $74,397
- Equity at exit
- $1,721
Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62896
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$104
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $575 | -5% $568 | +0% $561 | +5% $554 | +10% $547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $491 | -5% $526 | +0% $561 | +5% $596 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $571 | -0.5pp $566 | base $561 | +0.5pp $556 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,975
- Closing costs
- $597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 E Poplar St West Frankfort, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 411 N Cochran St West Frankfort, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5 Razer Dr Unit 1 West Frankfort, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 44 events
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2026-06-16days on market $19,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $19,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $19,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $19,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $19,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $19,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $19,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $19,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $19,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $19,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $19,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $19,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-12$19,900 Active 625-char remark
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2025-11-06historical $776
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2025-06-24$776
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2024-04-23historical $776
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2024-04-12$776
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2024-04-10historical $776
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2024-04-05$776
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2024-04-05historical $776
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2024-04-04$776
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2024-04-04historical $776
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2024-03-13$776
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2024-03-13historical $776
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2024-01-18historical $776
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2024-01-18$776
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2024-01-09
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2023-12-03historical
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2023-12-03
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2023-11-07historical
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2023-11-05
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2023-10-15historical
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2023-10-09
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2023-09-13historical
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2023-09-11
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2023-08-23historical
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2023-07-13
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2022-09-21soldstatus $19,000 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2022-09-21soldstatus $19,000 Closed 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2022-09-07historical Under Contract 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2022-08-31$19,900 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
-
2022-08-31$19,900 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This home has generous room sizes and so much potential! It has had exterior updates including, vinyl siding, windows, roof, 6' chainlink fence, back storm door, and front and back entrance doors, & hot water heater. The inside has original hardwood throughout most of the house. Could be a showstopper! This home is a first time homebuyer or an investors dream, cheap, just needs updated and some TLC. MOTIVATED SELLER
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2005-11-30soldstatus $30,000
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Heat, air and siding in 1998. Has a termite contract.
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2005-08-10$31,500
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Heat, air and siding in 1998. Has a termite contract.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,612
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,115
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$849
- − Management
- −$849
- − Depreciation
- −$579
- Taxable income
- $6,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frankfort CUSD 168
- NCES district ID
- 1741580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,447
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9886
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — West Frankfort
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1210
- US rank
- #22742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Frankfort, IL
- City population
- 10,691
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,691
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.00%
- Current HPI
- 86.36
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-39.7% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-06 Rental Removed $776 Hemlane
- 2025-06-24 Listed for Rent $776 Hemlane
- 2024-04-23 Rental Removed $776 Avail
- 2024-04-12 Listed for Rent $776 Avail
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-05 Listed for Rent $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-05 Rental Removed $776 Avail
- 2024-04-04 Listed for Rent $776 Avail
- 2024-04-04 Rental Removed $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Rental Removed $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-18 Rental Removed $776 Avail
- 2024-01-18 Listed for Rent $776 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-09 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2023-12-03 Rental Removed — Avail
- 2023-12-03 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2023-11-07 Rental Removed — Avail
- 2023-11-05 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2023-10-15 Rental Removed — Avail
- 2023-10-09 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2023-09-13 Rental Removed — Avail
- 2023-09-11 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2023-08-23 Rental Removed — Avail
- 2023-07-13 Listed for Rent — Avail
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-07 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-31 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-31 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-10 Listed $31,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,538 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…