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607 E Hancock St
B- Composite 67.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

607 E Hancock St · Steeleville, IL 62288
3 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,003 sqft · SingleFamily · 466 Days on market
10,454 sqft lot $45/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • New roof
  • Detached garage

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW ROOFDETACHED GARAGEKITCHEN DINING ROOM AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#487 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Steeleville CUSD 138 (town): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #348 of 620 in IL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Steeleville Elem School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 274 students, 0% FRL); Steeleville High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 129 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 466 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 466 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.12%
Cap rate
16.59%
Cash-on-cash
36.76%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,861
List price
$45,000
Delta
-61.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
506 S Sparta St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-0%) 11mo $89,000 $89 70
313 N Meadow Ln 0.68mi 3/1.0 900 (-10%) 1mo $139,000 $154 48
207 E Jenkins St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-14%) 13mo $45,000 $52 43
501 N Oak 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+14%) 10mo $122,500 $107 33
501 S Garfield St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-10%) 13mo $110,000 $122 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$17,341
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$46,957
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62288

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,367/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $411 -5% $399 +0% $386 +5% $373 +10% $360
Rent -10% $311 -5% $348 +0% $386 +5% $424 +10% $461
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $397 base $386 +0.5pp $374 +1.0pp $362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $45,000 Active 466 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 465 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 464 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 462 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 461 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 460 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 459 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 457 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 456 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 453 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 452 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 451 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 447 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 446 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 445 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 444 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 443 DOM
  18. 2026-03-13
    status Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.

  19. 2025-08-26
    price $45,000 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.

  20. 2025-03-04
    listed $50,000 Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,367 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,367 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,463
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$1,367
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$917
− Management
−$917
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$4,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,010
After-tax cash flow
$3,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Steeleville CUSD 138
NCES district ID
1737650
Math proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$49,973
Composite
21.23/100
National rank
#8406
State rank
#348 of 620 in IL

Livability — Steeleville

Score
67/100
State rank
#487
US rank
#10099

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Steeleville, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,592

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,417 people
By 2030
30,519 · -2.9%
By 2040
28,841 · -8.2%
By 2050
27,150 · -13.6%
By 2075
22,569 · -28.2%
By 2100
16,584 · -47.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.9pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.84%
Current HPI
145.7477
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-04 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,367 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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