607 E Hancock St · Steeleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- New roof
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#487 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Steeleville CUSD 138 (town): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #348 of 620 in IL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Steeleville Elem School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 274 students, 0% FRL); Steeleville High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 129 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randolph County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 466 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 466 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.76%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,861
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -61.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 S Sparta St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-0%) | 11mo | $89,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 313 N Meadow Ln | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-10%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 207 E Jenkins St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-14%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $52 | 43 |
| 501 N Oak | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+14%) | 10mo | $122,500 | $107 | 33 |
| 501 S Garfield St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-10%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $122 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $17,341
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $46,957
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62288
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,367/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $411 | -5% $399 | +0% $386 | +5% $373 | +10% $360 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $311 | -5% $348 | +0% $386 | +5% $424 | +10% $461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $397 | base $386 | +0.5pp $374 | +1.0pp $362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $45,000 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 460 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 452 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-03-13status Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.
-
2025-08-26price $45,000 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.
-
2025-03-04$50,000 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER!! This property is for all of those handymen/women out there. This 1-1/2 story home needs some TLC and could be beautiful again. It needs someone with the vision. It is located on a .24 acre corner lot, 60' x 160', which backs to an alley way. According to the Courthouse records the age of the home is unknown, over the 50 year mark, before 1971. In 2013-2014 the owner had put on a new roof. There is a detached one-car garage in back of the home. The kitchen/dining room area is approximately 25' x 11'. The house was set up for propane utilities. Seller is selling 'AS IS and 'WHERE IS" and to make no repairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,367 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,367 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,463
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,367
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$917
- − Management
- −$917
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $4,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,010
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steeleville CUSD 138
- NCES district ID
- 1737650
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,973
- Composite
- 21.23/100
- National rank
- #8406
- State rank
- #348 of 620 in IL
Livability — Steeleville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #10099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Steeleville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,592
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,417 people
- By 2030
- 30,519 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 28,841 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 27,150 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 22,569 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 16,584 · -47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.9pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.84%
- Current HPI
- 145.7477
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-04 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,367 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…