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2519 Goza St
D+ Composite 46.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

2519 Goza St · Camden, AR 71701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 977 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1945 0.32 ac lot $138/sqft · 82% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A cute cottage on a well-maintained lot is what you get here at 2519 Goza Ave. inside is freshly updated in this to bed in one bath the backyard has a nice size 2 car Carport along with storage space connected with electrical.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1945

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 50 x 140 (approx. 0.32 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Septic; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Inside city limits
  • Construction: Architectural shingle and rolled roofing; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl siding; Paved road access; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free‑standing stove; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator included
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Tile floors; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.9% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,574 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,249
List price
$134,900
Delta
66.03%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
568 Jenkins St 0.05mi 2/1.0 896 (-8%) 12mo $80,500 $90 73
453 Fairview Rd 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,104 (+13%) 2mo $8,000 $7 62
2323 Dover St 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,120 (+15%) 5mo $5,000 $4 58
580 Oxford 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,120 (+15%) 19mo $111,000 $99 37
446 Hennessey St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+13%) 11mo $76,000 $69 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-11,599
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,921
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71701

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $320/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $239 -5% $200 +0% $162 +5% $124 +10% $86
Rent -10% $67 -5% $115 +0% $162 +5% $210 +10% $257
Rate -1.0pp $230 -0.5pp $196 base $162 +0.5pp $127 +1.0pp $92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical Take Backups 698-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $134,900 New Listing 698-char remark
  3. 2024-07-01
    soldstatus $93,300
  4. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus $93,300 Sold 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    A cute cottage on a well-maintained lot is what you get here at 2519 Goza Ave. inside is freshly updated in this to bed in one bath the backyard has a nice size 2 car Carport along with storage space connected with electrical.

  5. 2024-05-17
    historical 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    A cute cottage on a well-maintained lot is what you get here at 2519 Goza Ave. inside is freshly updated in this to bed in one bath the backyard has a nice size 2 car Carport along with storage space connected with electrical.

  6. 2024-05-15
    listed $99,000 226-char remark
    Show marketing remark (226 chars)

    A cute cottage on a well-maintained lot is what you get here at 2519 Goza Ave. inside is freshly updated in this to bed in one bath the backyard has a nice size 2 car Carport along with storage space connected with electrical.

  7. 2020-08-18
    soldstatus $78,000
  8. 2012-04-11
    soldstatus $28,000
  9. 2006-04-13
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$320 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$543/yr (+$45/mo · 169.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,469
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$320
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$322
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$77
After-tax cash flow
$2,024/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden Fairview School District
NCES district ID
0506060
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,854
Composite
9.43/100
National rank
#9853
State rank
#229 of 238 in AR

Livability — Camden

Score
57/100
State rank
#364
US rank
#22245

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, AR
City population
17,883
Population (ZIP)
17,883

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,485 people
By 2030
19,947 · -7.2%
By 2040
16,990 · -20.9%
By 2050
14,431 · -32.8%
By 2075
10,003 · -53.4%
By 2100
7,418 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.10%
Current HPI
171.0106
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+365.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $134,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $93,300 Public Records
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) $93,300 CARMLS
  • 2024-05-17 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-05-15 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
  • 2020-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $320 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…