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29-31 Sprague St 5-Plex
D- Composite 38.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,500,000

29-31 Sprague St · Malden, MA 02148
30 bd · 25.0 ba · 4,057 sqft · MultiFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 1900 Average condition 6,255 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Exceptional 5-unit Victorian investment opportunity on a picturesque, tree-lined street in desirable Malden. 29–31 Sprague Street features four (4) one-bedroom units and one (1) three-bedroom unit, offering a strong unit mix for steady rental income. This classic property showcases beautiful period architecture and timeless curb appeal that stands out in today’s competitive market. Off-street parking provides significant added value — a rare amenity in this area. Priced at approximately $300,000 per unit, this asset offers compelling value-add potential through updates and rent optimization. Located in Malden’s high-demand rental market with convenient access to publ

Key facts

  • Strong unit mix
  • Tree-lined street
  • Off-street parking

Tags

TREE-LINED STREETSTRONG UNIT MIXBEAUTIFUL PERIOD ARCHITECTUREOFF-STREET PARKINGHIGH-DEMAND RENTAL MARKET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on 0.14-acre lot

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking for 5 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 5+ family building with units up and down; Five stories total; Approximately 4,057 finished above-grade building area
  • Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Approximate year built (public records)
  • Exterior features: Paved driveway; Public transportation, shopping, parks, medical facility, highway access, public schools, T-Station, and university nearby

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Multiple units with 1 level each (unit layouts vary)
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Total of 17 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4×1bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-381 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-76/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.44M (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.26M (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.26M (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Malden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#29 in MA, #1,360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Malden (suburban): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #238 of 302 in MA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $12,640/mo this rent would consume 151% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 3600% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,264,000 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.09%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-304,155
Equity at exit
$223,655
10-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-438,445
Equity at exit
$129,693

Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 02148

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
51.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,640 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,866
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,875 /mo · $22,500/yr
Insurance
$625
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,654
Net cashflow
$-381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $13,122
Max offer price $1,444,932
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $656 -5% $138 +0% $-381 +5% $-899 +10% $-1,417
Rent -10% $-1,379 -5% $-880 +0% $-381 +5% $119 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $375 -0.5pp $1 base $-381 +0.5pp $-769 +1.0pp $-1,165

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $2,957
Total (5 units) $12,640

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$375,000
Closing costs
$45,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,500,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $1,500,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 675-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $1,500,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$151,680
− Mortgage interest
−$84,023
− Property taxes
−$22,500
− Insurance
−$7,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,134
− Management
−$12,134
− Depreciation
−$43,636
Taxable loss
−$30,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$7,260
After-tax cash flow
$2,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

A moderate rehab opportunity with average condition, requiring updates to bathrooms and kitchen cabinets to enhance value and appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Major bathroom fixtures — outdated and in poor condition
  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
bathroom fixtures · outdated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Malden
NCES district ID
2507170
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$56,377
Composite
30.07/100
National rank
#6346
State rank
#238 of 302 in MA

Livability — Malden

Score
81/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#1360

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Malden, MA
County
Middlesex County · 1,437,704 people
City population
65,906
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
65,906
Household income
$100,606
Rent vs Own
58.7% rent · 41.3% own
Severe rent burden
3600.0

Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,740,269 people
By 2030
1,817,187 · +4.4%
By 2040
1,963,195 · +12.8%
By 2050
2,087,461 · +20.0%
By 2075
2,344,036 · +34.7%
By 2100
2,383,776 · +37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Asian 29% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Estonian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
51% English-only · Chinese 15% Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -396.34%
Current HPI
336.6086
Rent YoY
▼ -0.77%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $1,500,000 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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