Duplex
12 Martens Pl · Mount Vernon, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$849,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 111 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-59/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $829k (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $743k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $743k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
- Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,434/mo this rent would consume 147% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2963% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($773k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $415k; list at $850k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.59%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Martens Pl | 0.00mi | 8/3.0 | — | 0mo | $825,000 | — | 87 |
| 227 S 3rd Ave | 0.39mi | 8/3.0 | — | 2mo | $700,000 | — | 68 |
| 176 Elm Ave | 0.22mi | 8/2.0 | 3,850 | 7mo | $675,000 | $175 | 68 |
| 215 S 1st Ave | 0.28mi | 8/2.0 | — | 7mo | $800,000 | — | 65 |
| 47 N Columbus Ave | 0.37mi | 8/3.0 | 3,480 | 9mo | $910,000 | $261 | 63 |
| 112 N Columbus Ave | 0.39mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 2,500 | 3mo | $900,000 | $360 | 58 |
| 450-452 Franklin Ave | 0.57mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | — | 5mo | $740,000 | — | 52 |
| 53 Rich Ave | 0.36mi | 9/6.0 (+1) | — | 4mo | $1,275,000 | — | 50 |
| 418 S 1st Ave | 0.55mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,128 | 6mo | $919,000 | $294 | 48 |
| 130 Urban St | 0.71mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,475 | 9mo | $840,000 | $339 | 42 |
| 243 Summit Ave | 0.70mi | 8/6.0 | 6,820 | 1mo | $982,400 | $144 | 42 |
| 563 E 3rd St | 0.67mi | 9/6.0 (+1) | 3,366 | 8mo | $1,000,000 | $297 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-142,260
- Equity at exit
- $126,738
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-121,285
- Equity at exit
- $73,492
Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10550
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 19.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,434 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,457
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,179 /mo · $14,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,561
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 1.5 | $7,434 |
| #1 | 4 | 1.5 | $3,717 |
| #2 | 4 | 1.5 | $3,717 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,434 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,500
- Closing costs
- $25,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-02-20status Pending
-
2026-01-02status Active
-
2026-01-02historical
-
2025-12-12price $849,999
-
2025-11-14price $899,000
-
2025-11-02$950,000 Active
-
2025-11-01historical $950,000
-
2025-02-12soldstatus $415,000
-
2025-01-24soldstatus $415,000 Closed 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2025-01-22status Pending 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2024-12-05status Active 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2024-12-05price $399,999 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2024-11-29status Pending 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2024-09-04price $349,999 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2024-07-25$399,999 Active 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
2 Family Home, Completely Gutted, Cash Offers Only.
-
2002-11-29soldstatus $325,000
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2002-10-13soldstatus $325,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Move-in Condition Two Family. New Roof, Windows, Bath, And Kitchen.
-
2002-08-06price $349,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Move-in Condition Two Family. New Roof, Windows, Bath, And Kitchen.
-
2002-08-06historical 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Move-in Condition Two Family. New Roof, Windows, Bath, And Kitchen.
-
2002-06-01$325,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Move-in Condition Two Family. New Roof, Windows, Bath, And Kitchen.
-
2000-10-12soldstatus $198,000
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2000-08-07soldstatus $190,000
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2000-04-27historical
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2000-04-27price $199,000
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1999-06-29$190,000
-
1982-12-01soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,145 · $1,179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,255 · $1,188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 0.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $89,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,613
- − Property taxes
- −$14,145
- − Insurance
- −$4,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,137
- − Management
- −$7,137
- − Depreciation
- −$24,727
- Taxable loss
- −$15,800
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,792
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Vernon School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620100
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,890
- Composite
- 36.59/100
- National rank
- #4631
- State rank
- #485 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #6876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 61,313
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,972
- Household income
- $60,701
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2963.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% White 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 2% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.69%
- Current HPI
- 191.5235
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+7995.2% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $849,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-02 Listed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-01 Coming Soon $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $415,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $415,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-22 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $399,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $349,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-25 Listed $399,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-13 Sold (MLS) $325,000 HGMLS
- 2002-08-06 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2002-08-06 Price Changed $349,000 HGMLS
- 2002-06-01 Listed $325,000 HGMLS
- 2000-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-07 Sold (MLS) $190,000 HGMLS
- 2000-04-27 Price Changed $199,000 HGMLS
- 2000-04-27 Delisted — HGMLS
- 1999-06-29 Listed $190,000 HGMLS
- 1982-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $14,145 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…