1101 3rd Ave · Mendota, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very clean and neat older 2 story home that has been well maintained. Located on large corner lot with 2 car detached garage. Has walk-in attic storage and hardwood under carpeting.
Key facts
- Newer ac furnace
- New roof
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($635/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (6.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.8% in Mendota — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#425 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Mendota Twp Hsd 280 (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #474 of 919 in IL (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.63%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,317
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 4th Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,744 (-1%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $66 | 80 |
| 1007 Illinois Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-0%) | 10mo | $164,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 410 16th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,782 (+1%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 306 6th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,627 (-7%) | 13mo | $108,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 605 1st Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,898 (+8%) | 9mo | $259,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 806 16th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,843 (+5%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 1006 Illinois Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,596 (-9%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 709 Meriden St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 | 1,673 (-5%) | 22mo | $75,000 | $45 | 53 |
| 2002 Guiles St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,795 (+2%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $145 | 45 |
| 908 Jefferson St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,560 (-11%) | 17mo | $153,000 | $98 | 36 |
| 1202 Main St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (-14%) | 18mo | $115,000 | $76 | 31 |
| 706 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,976 (+12%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $38 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-19,125
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-12,197
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61342
- Home prices YoY
- -14.8%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,265/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $92 | +0% $53 | +5% $14 | +10% $-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-50 | -5% $1 | +0% $53 | +5% $104 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $123 | -0.5pp $88 | base $53 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2025-11-17$139,000 Active
-
2024-11-08soldstatus $70,000
-
2012-03-23soldstatus $60,000 Closed Sale 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Very clean and neat older 2 story home that has been well maintained. Located on large corner lot with 2 car detached garage. Has walk-in attic storage and hardwood under carpeting.
-
2012-03-08status Pending 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Very clean and neat older 2 story home that has been well maintained. Located on large corner lot with 2 car detached garage. Has walk-in attic storage and hardwood under carpeting.
-
2012-02-08price $75,000 Price Change 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Very clean and neat older 2 story home that has been well maintained. Located on large corner lot with 2 car detached garage. Has walk-in attic storage and hardwood under carpeting.
-
2011-11-21$81,000 New 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
Very clean and neat older 2 story home that has been well maintained. Located on large corner lot with 2 car detached garage. Has walk-in attic storage and hardwood under carpeting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,265 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,710 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$445/yr (+$37/mo · 19.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,265
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,250
- − Management
- −$1,250
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$1,666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,035/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mendota Twp Hsd 280
- NCES district ID
- 1725650
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,522
- Composite
- 29.37/100
- National rank
- #11816
- State rank
- #474 of 919 in IL
Livability — Mendota
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #8707
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mendota, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,373
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.79%
- Current HPI
- 177.6371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+71.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-17 Listed $139,000 Fizber.com
- 2024-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2012-03-23 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-08 Price Changed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-21 Listed $81,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,265 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…