322 W 28th St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Classic Colonial in the heart of Lorain! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home blends timeless character with practical updates, featuring beautiful natural woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the spacious front porch or entertaining in the comfortable living areas. The updated bathroom adds modern convenience, while major improvements—including a new roof (2023) and hot water tank (2025)—provide peace of mind. The home offers 1,468 square feet of living space, plus a full basement for storage or future potential. There is a walk up attic that can be used for additional storage. Located near Central Park, this property also includes a 2-car garage and comes fully equipped with kitchen appliances (range, refrigerator, dishwasher) along with a washer and dryer—making it truly move-in ready. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a solid investment opportunity, this home delivers value, charm, and functionality in a central location.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1923
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $130k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.97%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,182
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 2.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 W 30th St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-4%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $78 | 78 |
| 3225 Broadway | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (-2%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $90 | 76 |
| 807 W 21st St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,498 (+2%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $91 | 71 |
| 917 Highland Park Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,393 (-5%) | 6mo | $171,900 | $123 | 65 |
| 213 W 23rd St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-10%) | 5mo | $164,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 3402 Amherst Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+5%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 230 W 39th St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+1%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 127 E 35th St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-4%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $68 | 58 |
| 3869 Dayton Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-4%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $142 | 56 |
| 507 W 20th | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,684 (+15%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $84 | 47 |
| 2027 Lexington Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-14%) | 4mo | $63,000 | $50 | 42 |
| 3030 Kay Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (-14%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $114 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,680
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $14,791
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44055
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,360 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 W 29th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 117 W 30th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $925 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 509 W 24th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2715 Apple Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,311 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 128 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1402 | $1,470 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3132 Elyria Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1109 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 944 S Central Dr Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 704 W 21st St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2909 Denver Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1597 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2307 Washington Ave Lorain, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,499 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 939 W 22nd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 612 E 33rd St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $995 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1724 Lexington Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,215 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1703 Oakdale Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 930 W 18th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 521 W 14th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $950 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 420 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1220 W 19th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $1,550 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1053 Washington Ave Unit 4 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1037 Washington Ave Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1055 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $1,750 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1322 Brownell Ave Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1571 | $1,570 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1637 E 29th St Lorain, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $979 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1639 E 31st St Unit 1637 Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1413 W 12th St Lorain, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1725 | $1,700 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $135,000 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Charming Classic Colonial in the heart of Lorain! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home blends timeless character with practical updates, featuring beautiful natural woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the spacious front porch or entertaining in the comfortable living areas. The updated bathroom adds modern convenience, while major improvements—including a new roof (2023) and hot water tank (2025)—provide peace of mind. The home offers 1,468 square feet of living space, plus a full basement for storage or future potential. There is a walk up attic that can be used for additional storage. Located near Central Park, this property also includes a 2-car garage and comes fully equipped with kitchen appliances (range, refrigerator, dishwasher) along with a washer and dryer—making it truly move-in ready. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a solid investment opportunity, this home delivers value, charm, and functionality in a central location.
-
2026-04-07$140,000 Active 1014-char remark
Show marketing remark (1014 chars)
Charming Classic Colonial in the heart of Lorain! This inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home blends timeless character with practical updates, featuring beautiful natural woodwork and hardwood floors throughout. Enjoy relaxing mornings on the spacious front porch or entertaining in the comfortable living areas. The updated bathroom adds modern convenience, while major improvements—including a new roof (2023) and hot water tank (2025)—provide peace of mind. The home offers 1,468 square feet of living space, plus a full basement for storage or future potential. There is a walk up attic that can be used for additional storage. Located near Central Park, this property also includes a 2-car garage and comes fully equipped with kitchen appliances (range, refrigerator, dishwasher) along with a washer and dryer—making it truly move-in ready. Perfect for first-time buyers or those looking for a solid investment opportunity, this home delivers value, charm, and functionality in a central location.
-
2007-01-09soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,596 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$430/yr (+$36/mo · 36.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,166
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,043
- Household income
- $40,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1140.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 24% Black 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.26%
- Current HPI
- 180.9309
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+68.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-07 Listed $140,000 MLSNOW
- 2007-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,166 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…