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59654 River Canyon Rd
C- Composite 53.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$209,000

59654 River Canyon Rd · Imnaha, OR 97842
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 298 Days on market
Built 2009 1.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.

Key facts

  • Spacious fenced yard
  • 200 feet of frontage
  • 1.28 acre lot

Tags

200 FEET OF FRONTAGESPACIOUS FENCED YARDSWEEPING CANYON VIEWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Joseph SD 6 (rural): math 45% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #13 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Wallowa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $956 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Wallowa County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $152k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,912 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.45%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$7,934
Equity at exit
$65,509
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$51,610
Equity at exit
$82,703

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97842

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,819 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $445/yr
Insurance
$87
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,629
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $209,000 Active 298 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $209,000 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 297 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 296 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 295 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 294 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $215,000 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $215,000 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 288 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 281 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 280 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 279 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 278 DOM
  16. 2025-11-12
    price $215,000 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.

  17. 2025-09-09
    price $225,000 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.

  18. 2025-08-25
    listed $249,000 Active 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.

  19. 2004-09-21
    soldstatus $152,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$445 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,027 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$1,583/yr (+$132/mo · 356.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥86°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,829
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$445
− Insurance
−$1,842
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,746
− Management
−$1,746
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$1,738
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$2,223/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joseph SD 6
NCES district ID
4106870
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$43,230
Composite
50.02/100
National rank
#4136
State rank
#13 of 183 in OR

Livability — Imnaha

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
85

Population outlook (Wallowa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,274 people
By 2030
5,889 · -6.1%
By 2040
5,111 · -18.5%
By 2050
4,519 · -28.0%
By 2075
3,386 · -46.0%
By 2100
2,414 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 20% English 9% Lithuanian 9%
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Wallowa

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.3) · D 30.9% · R 66.2% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -35.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.3 2020: R+34.5 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.46%
Current HPI
140.7476
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $215,000 RMLS
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $225,000 RMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $249,000 RMLS
  • 2004-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $445 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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