59654 River Canyon Rd · Imnaha, OR
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.
Key facts
- Spacious fenced yard
- 200 feet of frontage
- 1.28 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Joseph SD 6 (rural): math 45% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #13 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Wallowa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $956 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Wallowa County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $152k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $7,934
- Equity at exit
- $65,509
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $51,610
- Equity at exit
- $82,703
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97842
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,819 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $445/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $209,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $215,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2025-11-12price $215,000 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.
-
2025-09-09price $225,000 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.
-
2025-08-25$249,000 Active 696-char remark
Show marketing remark (696 chars)
With 200 feet of frontage along the Imnaha River, this 1.28-acre property in Imnaha River Woods offers an inviting riverfront lifestyle. The rustic cabin includes a metal roof, newer septic & well, with two rooms off the living area and a kitchen that looks out to the water. From the home, enjoy sweeping canyon views and the comfort of a spacious fenced yard, while the open area near the river provides plenty of room to relax or gather. Whether you envision it as a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this property combines natural beauty with exciting potential. 45 miles from Joseph and 25 miles from the historic Imnaha Tavern, it’s a special setting ready to be enjoyed.
-
2004-09-21soldstatus $152,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $445 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,583/yr (+$132/mo · 356.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥86°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,829
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$445
- − Insurance
- −$1,842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,746
- − Management
- −$1,746
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$1,738
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Joseph SD 6
- NCES district ID
- 4106870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,230
- Composite
- 50.02/100
- National rank
- #4136
- State rank
- #13 of 183 in OR
Livability — Imnaha
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 85
Population outlook (Wallowa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,274 people
- By 2030
- 5,889 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 5,111 · -18.5%
- By 2050
- 4,519 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 3,386 · -46.0%
- By 2100
- 2,414 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 20% English 9% Lithuanian 9%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Wallowa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.3) · D 30.9% · R 66.2% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -35.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.3 2020: R+34.5 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.46%
- Current HPI
- 140.7476
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+41.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $215,000 RMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $225,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $249,000 RMLS
- 2004-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $445 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…