20 Pine Canyon Dr SW #13 · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor's Special - No Rental Restrictions! This charming townhome in the Greenbriar neighborhood features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and an open-concept main living and kitchen area - perfect for an investor looking to add to their portfolio or an owner-occupant ready to add sweat equity. Located minutes from Camp Creek Marketplace, Kroger, Tyler Perry Studios, Lee + White, Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, and the Atlanta Beltline. Quick access to I-285 and I-20 makes this home an unbeatable choice for convenience and value.
Key facts
- Quick access to i-20
- $275 HOA
- Built 2003
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Single-unit community (1 unit)
- HOA & community: Association fee of $275 per month covering trash and water; Has association
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Sewer available; Underground utilities; Water available
- Home design: Two levels; Fee simple ownership; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Parking lot; Asphalt/paved roads and county road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Stained cabinets; Laminate countertops; Pantry; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air-conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Disappearing attic stairs; High-speed internet; One fireplace located in the family room; 2+ shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Continental Colony Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 371 students, 100% FRL); Ralph Bunche Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #449 of 470 statewide, top 97%, 824 students, 100% FRL); D. M. Therrell High School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 973 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $114k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.22%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,880
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Pine Canyon Dr SW #24 | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (-2%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $123 | 89 |
| 15 Pine Canyon Dr SW | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+3%) | 4mo | $172,000 | $106 | 87 |
| 20 Pine Canyon Dr SW #15 | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,732 (+10%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $98 | 82 |
| 20 Pine Canyon Dr SW #17 | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (-2%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $136 | 81 |
| 3177 Meadowstone Ln SW | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,496 (-5%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 3132 Meadowstone Ln SW | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,497 (-5%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 2909 Ridgeview Dr SW | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,536 (-3%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $186 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,313
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $34,534
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30331
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 483
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $428
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2801 Ridgeview Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1588 | $2,500 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3122 Meadowstone Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1336 | $2,440 | $1.83 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3122 Meadowstone Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1336 | $2,540 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2658 Rolling Brook Trl Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $1,850 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3211 Flamingo Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,900 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2999 Continental Colony Pkwy SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $1,429 | $1.51 | 3d | 5 | 0.69mi |
| 3181 Meadowstone Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2184 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3181 Meadowstone Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2886 Ridgeview Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1792 | $2,175 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3540 N Camp Creek Pkwy SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,425 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2523 Ben Hill Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1412 | $3,000 | $2.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2684 Toucan Way SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3560 Eagle Ct SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,995 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2750 Barge Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $2,371 | $2.40 | 1d | 52 | 1.09mi |
| 3488 Cardinal Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3596 Indian Rock Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1198 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3168 Beech Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2610 Harmony Way Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2764 Riggs Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $2,050 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2675 Headland Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3507 Redwine Rd Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 960 | $1,745 | $1.82 | 1d | 8 | 1.23mi |
| 2589 Coventry St SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 24d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 2535 Rex Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3638 Barrow Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3031 Remington St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 18d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3596 Raven Way Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $1,965 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3030 Remington St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2420 Heaton Dr Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1103 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2756 Plantation Dr Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,950 | $1.74 | 20d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2511 Susan Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3477 Meadowlane Pl SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2182 | $2,350 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2514 Riggs Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2250 Dodson Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $4,200 | $2.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2311 Cherry Blossom Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 3128 Chateau Blvd East Point, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 15d | 12 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 523-char remark
-
2026-06-13$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,104 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 25.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,104
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,998
- − Management
- −$1,998
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,056
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$733
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,567
- Household income
- $62,623
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3748.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.38%
- Current HPI
- 204.5402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+22.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2007-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-23 Sold (MLS) $114,000 FMLS
- 2006-11-28 Listed $119,900 FMLS
- 2003-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,104 · -6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…