215 North Ave · Greece, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MID-CENTURY SOLID BUILT RANCH ON 1.3 ACRE LOT * HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT * PLASTER WALLS * BATHROOMS ARE IN PRISTINE CONDITION AS IS BUILT IN 1959 * DEEP 2 CAR GARAGE OPENS TO PORCH * BONUS SPACE IN FINISHED LOWER LEVEL WITH PANELED WALLS * CEDAR CLOSET * NEWER HVAC * WHOLE HOUSE GENERATOR * 2 FULL BATHS * TRANSFERABLE WARRANTY ON NEW GUTTERS FROM 2020 * 200 AMP NEW PANEL BOX 6/26 * TRULY A GREAT VALUE FOR THIS HOME * DELAYED NEGOTIATIONS UNTIL TUESDAY 6/16 @ 12:00PM.
Key facts
- Plaster walls
- Deep 2 car garage
- Bonus space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with electricity and garage door opener; Driveway; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Resale property
- Construction: Stone and wood siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Blown-in insulation; Copper plumbing
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Blacktop driveway; Wooded, rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Eat-in kitchen / country kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (2 on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Window treatments; Drapes; Programmable thermostat; Primary suite; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater; Humidifier; Generator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.7% in Greece — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#145 in NY, #2,223 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-.
- Greece Central School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #544 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.22%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,972
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 North Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,384 (-1%) | 2mo | $276,000 | $199 | 66 |
| 108 Selkirk Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,391 (-1%) | 11mo | $212,500 | $153 | 63 |
| 60 Cindy Ln | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,528 (+9%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $147 | 61 |
| 264 North Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (-10%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $207 | 59 |
| 217 Mill Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,312 (-7%) | 9mo | $270,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 281 Guinevere Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+3%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $211 | 57 |
| 34 La Solis Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,599 (+14%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $181 | 57 |
| 154 Rusty Ln | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,414 (+1%) | 17mo | $200,500 | $142 | 56 |
| 167 North Ave | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 | 1,596 (+14%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $204 | 52 |
| 652 Harvest Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,395 (-1%) | 14mo | $237,500 | $170 | 51 |
| 131 Cindy Ln | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,556 (+11%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $174 | 49 |
| 124 Mill Rd | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,584 (+13%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $193 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,917
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,541
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14626
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$477 /mo · $5,730/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598 Bram Hall Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,750 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 49 Lianne Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $2,650 | $2.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 254 W Craig Hill Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $2,600 | $2.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18status $219,900 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 476-char remark
-
2026-06-10$219,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,730 · $477/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,730 · $477/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$5,730
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,356
- − Management
- −$2,356
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$807
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greece Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,718
- Composite
- 32.26/100
- National rank
- #5761
- State rank
- #544 of 590 in NY
Livability — Greece
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #2223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 29,210
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,273
- Household income
- $78,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 810.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.91%
- Current HPI
- 248.9836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $219,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,730 · +42.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…