805 Kentucky St · Brackenridge, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out 805 Kentucky Street! This wonderful home has been lovingly maintained by the same owner for over 50 years. Located in Brackenridge just minutes from Route 28, it sits on a large corner lot with a with a fenced in yard that is perfect for pets, playtime, and pools. The interior features newer flooring, a remodeled bathroom, and a massive primary bedroom with all the closet space you could need. The finished attic currently acts as a 3rd bedroom, but it could also make a great office or playroom. The side deck is spacious and leads from the kitchen down to the yard, making indoor/outdoor entertaining a breeze. And the oversized 2 car garage offers plenty of room for vehicles, tools, or other outdoor toys. Don't delay, schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Remodeled bathroom
- Spacious side deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#510 in PA, #4,660 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, commute A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #376 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.87%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,408
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Kentucky St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,216 (0%) | 0mo | $138,000 | $113 | 93 |
| 1117 8th Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.5 | 1,302 (+7%) | 8mo | $78,000 | $60 | 81 |
| 1264 8th Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 | 1,152 (-5%) | 3mo | $123,500 | $107 | 78 |
| 950 Roup Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (-4%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $77 | 66 |
| 1060 Roup Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,312 (+8%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $145 | 62 |
| 1025 Union Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,308 (+8%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $99 | 61 |
| 1040 8th Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,368 (+12%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $48 | 58 |
| 807 Hazlett Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,136 (-7%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $13 | 56 |
| 1209 Union Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,082 (-11%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 1277 11th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,287 (+6%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 1275 11th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-12%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $145 | 51 |
| 1138 Union Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (+14%) | 10mo | $183,000 | $131 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $81,236
- Equity at exit
- $121,529
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.17×
- Total profit
- $233,142
- Equity at exit
- $262,081
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15014
- Home prices YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,795/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1079 9th Ave Brackenridge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,095 | $0.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1067 Cleveland Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 875 1st Ave Brackenridge, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,399 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 728 9th Ave Brackenridge, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1210 Minnesota Ave Natrona Heights, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,980 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1127 Highland St Unit 2 Tarentum, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 236 Wayne St New Kensington, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1715 State St Natrona Heights, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-03-31$134,900 Active
-
2025-10-21price $134,900 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
Come check out 805 Kentucky Street! This wonderful home has been lovingly maintained by the same owner for over 50 years. Located in Brackenridge just minutes from Route 28, it sits on a large corner lot with a with a fenced in yard that is perfect for pets, playtime, and pools. The interior features newer flooring, a remodeled bathroom, and a massive primary bedroom with all the closet space you could need. The finished attic currently acts as a 3rd bedroom, but it could also make a great office or playroom. The side deck is spacious and leads from the kitchen down to the yard, making indoor/outdoor entertaining a breeze. And the oversized 2 car garage offers plenty of room for vehicles, tools, or other outdoor toys. Don't delay, schedule your tour today!
-
2025-09-18$139,000 Active 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
Come check out 805 Kentucky Street! This wonderful home has been lovingly maintained by the same owner for over 50 years. Located in Brackenridge just minutes from Route 28, it sits on a large corner lot with a with a fenced in yard that is perfect for pets, playtime, and pools. The interior features newer flooring, a remodeled bathroom, and a massive primary bedroom with all the closet space you could need. The finished attic currently acts as a 3rd bedroom, but it could also make a great office or playroom. The side deck is spacious and leads from the kitchen down to the yard, making indoor/outdoor entertaining a breeze. And the oversized 2 car garage offers plenty of room for vehicles, tools, or other outdoor toys. Don't delay, schedule your tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,795 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,963 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 9.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,795
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$744
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211880
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,730
- Composite
- 32.58/100
- National rank
- #5679
- State rank
- #376 of 539 in PA
Livability — Brackenridge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #510
- US rank
- #4660
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brackenridge, PA
- City population
- 3,109
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,109
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.92%
- Current HPI
- 224.4654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $134,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $134,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $139,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,795 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…