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105 Circle Dr
C- Composite 53.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$24,900

105 Circle Dr · Jerseyville, IL 62052
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,423 sqft · SingleFamily · 122 Days on market
Built 1958 0.39 ac lot $17/sqft · 83% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

Key facts

  • Generous yard
  • Large kitchen layout
  • 0.39 acre lot

Tags

LARGE KITCHEN LAYOUTGENEROUS YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 47.0% vs local median 4.5% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($172 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $21,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.17%
Cap rate
46.97%
Cash-on-cash
145.27%
DSCR
7.46
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,522
List price
$24,900
Delta
-83.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1115 W Exchange St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,362 (-4%) 1mo $159,000 $117 82
911 W Exchange St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,517 (+7%) 4mo $202,000 $133 71
910 W Pine St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,281 (-10%) 4mo $175,000 $137 66
208 Ferguson St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,583 (+11%) 7mo $148,700 $94 66
300 Clay St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,304 (-8%) 2mo $90,000 $69 64
703 Harrison St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,623 (+14%) 1mo $139,900 $86 57
812 W Exchange St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,241 (-13%) 8mo $170,000 $137 52
900 Sarah St 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (-9%) 0mo $65,000 $50 52
209 W Spruce St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,363 (-4%) 10mo $210,000 $154 49
506 Hiview Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-6%) 4mo $140,000 $105 49
412 Cross Ave 0.50mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,554 (+9%) 11mo $218,500 $141 46
400 S Arch St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,567 (+10%) 9mo $179,900 $115 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.66×
Total profit
$67,336
Equity at exit
$22,432
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.38×
Total profit
$156,058
Equity at exit
$48,375

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62052

Home prices YoY
10.2%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$844

Break-even live

Break-even rent $218
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $861 -5% $853 +0% $844 +5% $835 +10% $827
Rent -10% $742 -5% $793 +0% $844 +5% $895 +10% $946
Rate -1.0pp $857 -0.5pp $850 base $844 +0.5pp $838 +1.0pp $831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $24,900 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,900 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,900 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,900 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,900 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,900 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $24,900 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,900 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,900 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,900 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $29,000 971-char remark
    Show marketing remark (971 chars)

    Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

  15. 2026-04-13
    price $31,900 971-char remark
    Show marketing remark (971 chars)

    Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

  16. 2026-03-09
    status Active 971-char remark
    Show marketing remark (971 chars)

    Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

  17. 2026-02-27
    status Pending 971-char remark
    Show marketing remark (971 chars)

    Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

  18. 2026-02-09
    listed $35,900 Active 971-char remark
    Show marketing remark (971 chars)

    Welcome to 105 Circle Dr — a fantastic opportunity to customize a home to your style! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,400 sq. ft. of living space and is ready for your personal touch. Inside, you’ll find a traditional floorplan with a spacious living area, sunny bedrooms, and plenty of potential to update and modernize. The large kitchen layout provides an excellent foundation for a future remodel, while the generous yard offers room to create an outdoor retreat, garden space, or play area. This property is ideal for anyone looking to add value. Whether you’re dreaming of a cozy home to make your own or seeking your next project, this house offers solid potential and a great layout to build from. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special! This is a Fannie Mae Property. ALL information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be verified by the buyer and/or buyers agent before making an offer.

  19. 2017-07-31
    soldstatus $54,000
  20. 2000-10-01
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,434
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$10,348
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,483
After-tax cash flow
$7,645/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jersey CUSD 100
NCES district ID
1720430
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$52,066
Composite
25.13/100
National rank
#7522
State rank
#260 of 620 in IL

Livability — Jerseyville

Score
72/100
State rank
#327
US rank
#6498

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jerseyville, IL
City population
12,483
Population (ZIP)
12,483

Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,031 people
By 2030
20,138 · -4.2%
By 2040
18,077 · -14.0%
By 2050
15,882 · -24.5%
By 2075
11,718 · -44.3%
By 2100
8,546 · -59.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jersey

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
255.48
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-64.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $29,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $31,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $35,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,965 · +25.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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