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507 NE 99th St #95
C+ Composite 62.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$188,500

507 NE 99th St #95 · Hazel Dell, WA 98665
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 94 Days on market
Built 2019 $145/sqft · 62% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Almost new manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde, a 55+ park. This well-maintained home offers comfort, convenience, and secure gated living. Inside, you'll find modern finishes with a lovely kitchen, featuring a spacious layout with abundant cabinet & counter space, bar area, and smoky-black appliances. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors are just a few of the lovely finishes. The open floor plan features an oversized family room and dining area. The primary suite is a dream with ample closet space and a generously sized bathroom with double sinks, a walk-in shower, and extra cabinets for organization. The home also has a laundry room with a side door to the yard/driveway. Situated in a desirable gated community, within walking distance of shopping, dining, and freeways. Low-maintenance living in a prime location. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Modern finishes
  • Bar area
  • Gated living

Tags

GATED LIVINGMODERN FINISHESSPACIOUS LAYOUTABUNDANT CABINET SPACEBAR AREASMOKY BLACK APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.2% in Hazel Dell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in WA, #1,216 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living D, schools F.
  • Vancouver School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #156 of 291 in WA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $171,535 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,000
List price
$188,500
Delta
55.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 NE 99th St #7 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,351 (+4%) 3mo $125,000 $93 90
507 NE 99th St #15 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,422 (+10%) 4mo $117,000 $82 81
507 NE 99th St #43 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-8%) 17mo $100,000 $84 67
507 NE 99th St #51 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-8%) 20mo $87,500 $74 64
1805 NE 94th St #6 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,296 (0%) 18mo $112,000 $86 51
1805 NE 94th St #56 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-8%) 9mo $98,500 $83 44
1805 NE 94th St #12 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+12%) 21mo $135,000 $93 28
1805 NE 94th St #51 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (+14%) 20mo $185,000 $125 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,054
Equity at exit
$28,106
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$29,053
Equity at exit
$16,298

Cash invested: $52,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98665

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,101 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$989
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,338/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,492
Max offer price $188,500
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $588 -5% $534 +0% $481 +5% $428 +10% $374
Rent -10% $315 -5% $398 +0% $481 +5% $564 +10% $647
Rate -1.0pp $576 -0.5pp $529 base $481 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $382

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,125
Closing costs
$5,655
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10223 NE Notchlog Dr Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 665 $1,646 $2.48 8d 1 0.26mi
10117 NE 9th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,470 $1.86 3d 8 0.27mi
345 NE 105th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 1.5 1260 $2,350 $1.87 5d 1 0.33mi
10316 NE Stutz Rd Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 24d 1 0.41mi
1115 NE 105th St Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,615 $1.93 8d 6 0.45mi
608 NE 86th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 2.0 1031 $1,825 $1.77 3d 1 0.48mi
405 NE 85th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.5 1116 $2,299 $2.06 3d 1 0.49mi
1016 NE 86th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,475 $1.55 24d 1 0.52mi
9211 NE 15th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $2,099 $2.33 3d 22 0.54mi
8415 NE Hazel Dell Ave Vancouver, WA 2.0–3.0 1.0 871 $1,750 $2.01 2d 4 0.60mi
8500 NE Hazel Dell Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $1,675 $2.00 11d 2 0.60mi
1801 NE 99th St Unit 9802-6 Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.5 910 $1,395 $1.53 24d 1 0.61mi
1532 NE 87th Way Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1418 $2,295 $1.62 24d 1 0.65mi
9501 NE 19th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 844 $2,099 $2.49 4d 20 0.68mi
9703 NE Tenny Creek Dr Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1592 $2,295 $1.44 24d 1 0.71mi
1106 NE 83rd St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1058 $2,318 $2.19 21d 1 0.71mi
2009 NE 102nd Cir Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,595 $1.70 3d 1 0.78mi
1437 NE 82nd Dr Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,695 $1.80 3d 1 0.86mi
8003 NE 13th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,045 $2.42 8d 16 0.89mi
8601 NE 21st Ave Unit D Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1155 $2,200 $1.90 15d 1 0.92mi
8601 NE 21st Ave Unit D Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1155 $2,200 $1.90 13d 1 0.92mi
8005 NE 13th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $2,045 $2.41 8d 14 0.95mi
2409 NE 100th St Vancouver, WA 4.0 4.0 1798 $3,300 $1.84 24d 1 0.97mi
7900 NE 18th Ave Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0 755 $1,650 $2.19 2d 4 1.01mi
145 NW 76th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1349 $2,245 $1.66 8d 1 1.08mi
7317 NE Hazel Dell Ave #10 Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 1037 $1,395 $1.35 24d 1 1.12mi
1708 NW 91st Cir Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1529 $2,695 $1.76 24d 1 1.14mi
1800 NW 104th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1406 $2,679 $1.91 3d 1 1.19mi
2301 NE 81st St Vancouver, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $2,550 $2.36 2d 10 1.20mi
1612 NW 109th St Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,800 $3.11 24d 1 1.23mi
7306 NE 16th Ave #1 Vancouver, WA 2.0 1.0 988 $1,395 $1.41 24d 1 1.24mi
1307 NE 70th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.0 1802 $2,829 $1.57 24d 1 1.36mi
3011 NE 113th St Vancouver, WA 3.0 2.5 1658 $2,895 $1.75 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $188,500 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $188,500 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $188,500 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $188,500 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $188,500 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $188,500 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $188,500 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $188,500 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $188,500 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $188,500 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $188,500 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $188,500 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-03-13
    listed $188,500 Active 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Almost new manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde, a 55+ park. This well-maintained home offers comfort, convenience, and secure gated living. Inside, you'll find modern finishes with a lovely kitchen, featuring a spacious layout with abundant cabinet & counter space, bar area, and smoky-black appliances. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors are just a few of the lovely finishes. The open floor plan features an oversized family room and dining area. The primary suite is a dream with ample closet space and a generously sized bathroom with double sinks, a walk-in shower, and extra cabinets for organization. The home also has a laundry room with a side door to the yard/driveway. Situated in a desirable gated community, within walking distance of shopping, dining, and freeways. Low-maintenance living in a prime location. Schedule your private showing today!

  14. 2020-07-20
    soldstatus $149,900 Sold 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    New manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde. Beautiful three-bedroom home with lots of space. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors. Warm and cozy, ready for Senior 55 plus living. The community is close to shopping, restaurants, and other commercial businesses. Easy access for travel.

  15. 2020-07-20
    soldstatus $149,900 Sold
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    New manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde. Beautiful three-bedroom home with lots of space. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors. Warm and cozy, ready for Senior 55 plus living. The community is close to shopping, restaurants, and other commercial businesses. Easy access for travel.

  16. 2020-06-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    New manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde. Beautiful three-bedroom home with lots of space. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors. Warm and cozy, ready for Senior 55 plus living. The community is close to shopping, restaurants, and other commercial businesses. Easy access for travel.

  17. 2020-06-03
    status Pending 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    New manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde. Beautiful three-bedroom home with lots of space. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors. Warm and cozy, ready for Senior 55 plus living. The community is close to shopping, restaurants, and other commercial businesses. Easy access for travel.

  18. 2020-02-19
    listed $149,900 Active
  19. 2020-02-11
    listed $149,900 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    New manufactured home in the heart of Meadow Verde. Beautiful three-bedroom home with lots of space. Quartz kitchen counters and upgraded hardwood laminate floors. Warm and cozy, ready for Senior 55 plus living. The community is close to shopping, restaurants, and other commercial businesses. Easy access for travel.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,338 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,847 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$509/yr (+$42/mo · 38.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,207
− Mortgage interest
−$10,559
− Property taxes
−$1,338
− Insurance
−$942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,017
− Management
−$2,017
− Depreciation
−$5,484
Taxable income
$2,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$684
After-tax cash flow
$5,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vancouver School District
NCES district ID
5309270
Math proficiency
43% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$52,562
Composite
43.45/100
National rank
#6479
State rank
#156 of 291 in WA

Livability — Hazel Dell

Score
82/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#1216

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Dell, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
28,243
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
28,910
Household income
$88,559
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
1070.0

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.20%
Current HPI
303.1342
Rent YoY
▲ 2.00%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $188,500 RMLS
  • 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $149,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-20 Sold (MLS) $149,900 RMLS
  • 2020-06-03 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-03 Pending RMLS
  • 2020-02-19 Listed $149,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-11 Listed $149,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,338 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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