3231 Edmundson Rd · Breckenridge Hills, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering solid potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity. Features include hardwood floors, white kitchen appliances, and a functional layout for your vision and updates. Outside, enjoy a fenced, level backyard with plenty of space for pets, play, gardening, or entertaining. Private driveway provides off-street parking. Conveniently located with access to everyday amenities. Whether you're looking for your next rental, flip project, or affordable homeownership opportunity, this property is full of possibilities!
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 864 (assessor); Lot size approximately 0.16 acres (public records)
- Financial info: Seller may consider concessions; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Cable and phone available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built information from assessor
- Exterior features: Patio; Back and front yard, level site; Back yard chain link fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher, Electric range, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Free-standing electric range, Free-standing refrigerator; Hardwood floors; Concrete basement
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#193 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marvin Elem. (math 11% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,003 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 517 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $125k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.36%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,096
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jonell Ct | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $179 | 71 |
| 3368 Suncrest Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $191 | 70 |
| 3219 Royalton Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-8%) | 3mo | $102,500 | $129 | 66 |
| 9448 Harold Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (0%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $139 | 59 |
| 9429 Burdella Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 939 (+9%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $133 | 56 |
| 9844 Mecca Ln | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+8%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 3525 Wismer Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-6%) | 5mo | $148,500 | $182 | 53 |
| 3304 S Gordon Ct | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+13%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 3654 Boswell Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-4%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $115 | 50 |
| 3294 W Tennyson Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 744 (-14%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $54 | 48 |
| 3203 Chaucer Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 986 (+14%) | 0mo | $144,900 | $147 | 38 |
| 8965 Tudor Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 991 (+15%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $161 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,192
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $13,397
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63114
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,235 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,545 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,865 | $1.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8819 McNulty Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,225 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2452 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9969 Sloane Sq Unit 9969C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $895 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2201 Gaebler Ave Unit A Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,250 | $1.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $124,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 598-char remark
-
2026-06-08$124,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,212 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 1.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,322
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$317
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — Breckenridge Hills
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #10013
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Breckenridge Hills, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,969
- Household income
- $55,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1595.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.62%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+214.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
- 1988-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,100 Public Records
- 1988-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,720 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2022): $1,192 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…