Troy Plan · Greer, SC 29651

$224,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,367 sqft · SingleFamily · 200 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Prep dinner at the kitchen island while mingling with guests in the open-concept great room. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite features dual sinks and a walk-in closet. A convenient second-story laundry simplifies the chore.

Key facts

• Dual sinks
• Walk-in closet
• Primary suite

Tags

• KITCHEN ISLAND
• OPEN-CONCEPT GREAT ROOM
• PRIMARY SUITE
• DUAL SINKS
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SECOND-STORY LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 102 Kerwin Ct, Greer SC 29651; Listed as a new construction plan
• Financial info: List price $234,900

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family plan home; Living area of 1,367 (listed)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2.5 bathrooms total
• Interior features: Plan home (Troy plan); Active listing

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($362/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (10.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.2% in Greer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SC, #1,463 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
• Spartanburg 05 (suburban): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #13 of 80 in SC (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Abner Creek Academy (math 60% / reading 57%, grade B-, #95 of 597 statewide, top 16%, 752 students, 55% FRL); Berry Shoals Intermediate (math 54% / reading 48%, grade C, #36 of 229 statewide, top 16%, 902 students, 56% FRL); James F. Byrnes High (math 31% / reading 75%, grade C-, #140 of 196 statewide, top 72%, 2,217 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $197,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.57%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-37,240
• Equity at exit: $33,533

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.35×
• Total profit: $-40,795
• Equity at exit: $19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29651

• Home prices YoY: -29.4%
• Rents YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 514
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,006 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,179
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$421
• Net cashflow: $30

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,967

Max offer price $224,900

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $186	-5% $108	+0% $30	+5% $-48	+10% $-125
Rent	-10% $-128	-5% $-49	+0% $30	+5% $109	+10% $189
Rate	-1.0pp $143	-0.5pp $87	base $30	+0.5pp $-28	+1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,225
• Closing costs: $6,747
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
808 Embark Cir Greer, SC	3.0	2.0	1740	$1,700	$0.98	15d	1	1.12mi
1456 Donhill Dr Greer, SC	3.0	2.0	1148	$2,100	$1.83	23d	1	1.30mi
1428 Donhill Dr Greer, SC	3.0	2.5	1475	$2,200	$1.49	23d	1	1.35mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $224,900 Active 200 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $224,900 Active 197 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $224,900 Active 196 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $224,900 Active 195 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $224,900 Active 194 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $224,900 Active 192 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $224,900 Active 191 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $224,900 Active 188 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $224,900 Active 187 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 182 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 181 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 180 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 179 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,067
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,598
• − Property taxes: −$3,374
• − Insurance: −$1,124
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,925
• − Management: −$1,925
• − Depreciation: −$6,543
• Taxable loss: −$3,422
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$821
• After-tax cash flow: $1,183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Spartanburg 05
• NCES district ID: 4503600
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $52,127
• Composite: 41.31/100
• National rank: #3512
• State rank: #13 of 80 in SC

Livability — Greer

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #7
• US rank: #1463

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Greenville County · 573,815 people
• City population: 99,092
• Metro: Greenville-Anderson, SC
• Population (ZIP): 56,599
• Household income: $82,705
• Rent vs Own: 19.2% rent · 80.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 720.0

Population outlook (Spartanburg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 325,495 people
• By 2030: 338,800 · +4.1%
• By 2040: 363,471 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 384,156 · +18.0%
• By 2075: 430,137 · +32.1%
• By 2100: 442,733 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spartanburg

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+27.3 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.81%
• Current HPI: 243.9051
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.62%
• Metro: Greenville-Anderson, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B