720 Woodland Cir · Walnut Grove, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand New 3-Bedroom Home - Eligible for Conventional, FHA & VA Financing! Welcome to this beautifully crafted, brand-new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home designed for modern living and everyday comfort. Featuring an open-concept layout, quality finishes, and energy-efficient construction, this home is move-in ready and built to last. The spacious kitchen flows seamlessly into the living and dining areas, making it perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an en-suite bath and generous closet space, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. This property qualifies for Conventional, FHA, and VA loans, offering excellent financing options for a wide range of buyers. Bonus tax benefit: Buyers 65 years and older qualify for an exemption from school taxes in Walton County, potentially resulting in significant savings (buyer to verify eligibility). Don't miss the opportunity to own a brand-new home with modern features, flexible financing, and valuable long-term benefits. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 2025
- Listed 114 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $296k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $279k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (30.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.9% in Walnut Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#289 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 847 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $296k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.37%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,873
- List price
- $295,900
- Delta
- -10.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-53,896
- Equity at exit
- $44,120
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-54,342
- Equity at exit
- $25,584
Cash invested: $82,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30052
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 847
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,065 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,552
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $615/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $-95
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,975
- Closing costs
- $8,877
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $295,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-24$295,900 New 1104-char remark
Show marketing remark (1104 chars)
Brand New 3-Bedroom Home - Eligible for Conventional, FHA & VA Financing! Welcome to this beautifully crafted, brand-new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home designed for modern living and everyday comfort. Featuring an open-concept layout, quality finishes, and energy-efficient construction, this home is move-in ready and built to last. The spacious kitchen flows seamlessly into the living and dining areas, making it perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an en-suite bath and generous closet space, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. This property qualifies for Conventional, FHA, and VA loans, offering excellent financing options for a wide range of buyers. Bonus tax benefit: Buyers 65 years and older qualify for an exemption from school taxes in Walton County, potentially resulting in significant savings (buyer to verify eligibility). Don't miss the opportunity to own a brand-new home with modern features, flexible financing, and valuable long-term benefits. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-24$295,900 Active 1104-char remark
Show marketing remark (1104 chars)
Brand New 3-Bedroom Home - Eligible for Conventional, FHA & VA Financing! Welcome to this beautifully crafted, brand-new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home designed for modern living and everyday comfort. Featuring an open-concept layout, quality finishes, and energy-efficient construction, this home is move-in ready and built to last. The spacious kitchen flows seamlessly into the living and dining areas, making it perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an en-suite bath and generous closet space, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. This property qualifies for Conventional, FHA, and VA loans, offering excellent financing options for a wide range of buyers. Bonus tax benefit: Buyers 65 years and older qualify for an exemption from school taxes in Walton County, potentially resulting in significant savings (buyer to verify eligibility). Don't miss the opportunity to own a brand-new home with modern features, flexible financing, and valuable long-term benefits. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-10-24soldstatus $150,000
-
2014-09-11historical
-
2014-08-12$24,900 New
-
2005-11-29soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,722 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,107/yr (+$176/mo · 342.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,783
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,575
- − Property taxes
- −$615
- − Insurance
- −$1,480
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,983
- − Management
- −$1,983
- − Depreciation
- −$8,608
- Taxable loss
- −$6,460
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,550
- After-tax cash flow
- $414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton County
- NCES district ID
- 1305390
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,716
- Composite
- 36.52/100
- National rank
- #4643
- State rank
- #31 of 174 in GA
Livability — Walnut Grove
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #15862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walnut Grove, GA
- County
- Walton County · 128,246 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,811
- Household income
- $93,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1174.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,098 people
- By 2030
- 102,496 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 110,318 · +12.5%
- By 2050
- 115,848 · +18.1%
- By 2075
- 125,830 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 123,852 · +26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.7% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+56.4 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+52.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.77%
- Current HPI
- 212.1241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+1083.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $295,900 FMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $295,900 GAMLS
- 2014-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2014-08-12 Listed $24,900 GAMLS
- 2005-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $615 · +17.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…