16581 N White Pine St #102 · Nampa, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$$$SELLER TO OFFER $5,000 BUYER CREDIT!$$$ Freshly updated, move-in ready, and packed with value! This beautifully renovated home features a BRAND NEW ROOF, NEW A/C, and NEW FURNACE, giving you total peace of mind. Lot rent is ONLY $568/month. HOME HIGHLIGHTS: Modern open-concept floor plan with abundant natural light. Brand new carpeting, luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring, and a crisp, neutral color palette. Updated kitchen seamlessly flowing into the dining/living space. Charming covered front porch and a low-maintenance, partially fenced yard. Located in a family-friendly community just minutes from local amenities. Flexible financing options are available, and the seller will actively
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Open floor plan
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: City water service; Sewer: other
- Home design: Manufactured home on land; Built in 1981; Located in a mobile home park
- Construction: Metal siding construction
- Exterior features: Partial metal fencing; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven/range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms — all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Vallivue School District (rural): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #48 of 92 in ID (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.80%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,996
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16652 N Grand Pine Way #14 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 940 (+2%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $59 | 84 |
| 16552 N Blue Spruce Trlr 307 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+1%) | 10mo | $99,900 | $107 | 78 |
| 16515 N Grand Pine Way #48 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $70 | 75 |
| 16572 N Grand Pine Way #33 | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 23mo | $79,910 | $86 | 73 |
| 16667 N Grand Pine Way #12 | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-2%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $66 | 73 |
| 16867 Portner Rd #8 | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+2%) | 16mo | $74,000 | $79 | 60 |
| 11344 W Hawkins | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 23mo | $309,900 | $293 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $37,390
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.36×
- Total profit
- $112,500
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83651
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $431/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11399 W Pamelas Ln Unit 103 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 16715 N Pamelas Ct Apt 104 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 16716 N Pamelas Ct Apt 103 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 16801 N Pamelas Loop Unit 101 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 16723 N Pamelas Loop Unit 102 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7012 Noah Dr Caldwell, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 209 Abraham Way Caldwell, ID | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,350 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6916 Enoch Dr Caldwell, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6921 Noah Ct Caldwell, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 401 Canyon Village Ln Caldwell, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1161 | $2,150 | $1.85 | 3d | 31 | 0.74mi |
| 6903 Noah Ct Caldwell, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,550 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15690 N Knightgate Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1239 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 3d | 3 | 0.89mi |
| 11130 W Ashburn Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 14d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 11215 W Ashburn Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1176 | $1,499 | $1.27 | 2d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 11139 W Brassy Cove Loop Unit 201 Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11139 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,395 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11159 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11132 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11144 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11160 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11179 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11106 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15550 N Kodee Way Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 11103 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 12086 W Greenstone St Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 2d | 3 | 1.01mi |
| 11082 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11010 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11034 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11028 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11004 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11188 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11039 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11199 W Brassy Cove Loop Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5218 Guitar Ln Caldwell, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,422 | $1.55 | 2d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 10201 Cherry Ln Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,866 | $1.81 | 3d | 18 | 1.09mi |
| 1920 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1860 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1925 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1865 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1825 W Bella Ln Nampa, ID | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$75,000 Active
-
2026-04-22historical
-
2026-02-10price $69,900
-
2025-11-19$74,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 20.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,575
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$431
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,573
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,818
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vallivue School District
- NCES district ID
- 1600600
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,377
- Composite
- 38.3/100
- National rank
- #4229
- State rank
- #48 of 92 in ID
Livability — Nampa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nampa, ID
- County
- Canyon County · 235,358 people
- City population
- 142,249
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,121
- Household income
- $69,914
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 723.0
Population outlook (Canyon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 269,596 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 311,081 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 350,809 · +41.0%
- By 2075
- 441,884 · +77.6%
- By 2100
- 505,641 · +103.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canyon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.4% · R 72.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.40%
- Current HPI
- 335.6717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.41%
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+0.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $75,000 IMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $69,900 IMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $74,900 IMLS
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $431 · +214.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…