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105 Silver Queen Cir
A- Composite 84.28
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$95,900

105 Silver Queen Cir · Battlement Mesa, CO 81635
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1998 Est $130k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

New Roof! Move-in ready! 3-Bed, 2-bath, recently updated mobile home in Saddleback Village under 100K! Featuring a garden tub, a walk-in closet in the primary bedroom, and a split floor plan. All one block from Bea Underwood Elementary School.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • New flooring
  • Split floor plan

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW FLOORINGGARDEN TUBWALK-IN CLOSETSPLIT FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $96k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 1.8% in Battlement Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#287 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Grand Valley School District No. 16 In The County Of Garfi (town): math 18% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #72 of 86 in CO (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($663 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Garfield County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $96k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.87%
Cash-on-cash
23.51%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,112
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
52 N Emerald Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-5%) 2mo $170,000 $148 83
11 Silverton Pl 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,184 (-3%) 1mo $117,500 $99 79
104 Mahogany Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,125 (-8%) 2mo $105,000 $93 76
116 Iron Wedge Cir 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 6mo $118,000 $105 72
58 Logans Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,110 (-9%) 2mo $93,000 $84 72
28 Iron Wedge Cir 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 5mo $119,000 $106 71
45 Horizon Cir 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,170 (-4%) 8mo $130,000 $111 68
88 W Carson Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 6mo $120,000 $107 66
244 Bent Creek Cir 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 1mo $125,000 $112 64
32 Bent Creek Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,108 (-9%) 2mo $127,500 $115 64
72 Tamarisk Trl 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+7%) 3mo $88,000 $68 64
205 Bent Creek Cir 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-4%) 8mo $132,000 $113 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.9%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$85,693
Equity at exit
$86,394
10-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
9.41×
Total profit
$225,930
Equity at exit
$186,313

Cash invested: $26,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81635

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$503
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $276/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $716
Max offer price $95,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $580 -5% $553 +0% $526 +5% $499 +10% $472
Rent -10% $417 -5% $471 +0% $526 +5% $581 +10% $635
Rate -1.0pp $574 -0.5pp $550 base $526 +0.5pp $501 +1.0pp $476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,975
Closing costs
$2,877
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-23
    listed $95,900 Active
  3. 2009-08-19
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$276 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$527 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 91.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,585
− Mortgage interest
−$5,372
− Property taxes
−$276
− Insurance
−$480
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,327
− Management
−$1,327
− Depreciation
−$2,790
Taxable income
$5,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$5,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Valley School District No. 16 In The County Of Garfi
NCES district ID
0804380
Math proficiency
18% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,301
Composite
19.2/100
National rank
#8815
State rank
#72 of 86 in CO

Livability — Battlement Mesa

Score
59/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#20600

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Battlement Mesa, CO
Population (ZIP)
7,155

Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,756 people
By 2030
63,255 · +2.4%
By 2040
64,952 · +5.2%
By 2050
64,937 · +5.2%
By 2075
62,413 · +1.1%
By 2100
55,730 · -9.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Garfield

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 47.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+2.1pp toward D · 2008: -0.0pp · 2024: 2.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.1 2020: D+2.3 2016: R+7.1 2012: R+4.9 2008: R+0.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.90%
Current HPI
434.5219
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+326.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending AGMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $95,900 AGMLS
  • 2009-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $276 · +393.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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