4306 Vida Santa · Weslaco, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful new construction home located in the highly desirable Tierra Santa Golf Club community in Weslaco — home to the city’s only golf course. This traditional-style 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home features a spacious open-concept layout, high decorative ceilings, quality finishes, and a seamless flow designed for comfortable living and entertaining. The thoughtfully designed kitchen opens directly into the living and dining areas, creating the perfect space for gatherings. Move-in ready with professional landscaping and a sprinkler system already installed. Enjoy the upscale lifestyle and amenities Tierra Santa has to offer, including a championship golf course, clubhouse, on-site
Key facts
- Sprinkler system
- 9,161 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Tierra Santa community
- HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association; Annual association fee of $990; POA transfer fee applies; Community amenities include clubhouse, golf, pool, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; Garage faces rear; Two covered parking spaces (total)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; City sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Brick and stone construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Seller-measured living area
- Construction: Brick and stone exterior; Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Sprinkler system; Professional landscaping; Irrigated and landscaped lot; Alley access; Located on a golf course; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Porcelain tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Thermostat (energy feature)
- Interior features: Quartz countertops; Double-pane windows; Window coverings; Porcelain tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($670/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $280k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.1% in Weslaco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#277 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Weslaco ISD (suburban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #705 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Memorial El (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,133 of 4,322 statewide, top 27%, 1,075 students, 67% FRL); Central Middle (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #786 of 1,662 statewide, top 48%, 974 students, 70% FRL); Weslaco H S (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 2,553 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 711 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $370 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $327,779
- List price
- $345,000
- Delta
- 2.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-15,995
- Equity at exit
- $90,217
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $25,214
- Equity at exit
- $100,785
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78596
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 711
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$83
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $251 | -5% $154 | +0% $56 | +5% $-42 | +10% $-139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-165 | -5% $-55 | +0% $56 | +5% $166 | +10% $277 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $230 | -0.5pp $144 | base $56 | +0.5pp $-34 | +1.0pp $-124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3818 Tierra Escondida Weslaco, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1846 | $2,800 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $83 · $996/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $345,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $345,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $345,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $345,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $345,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $345,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $345,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $345,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $345,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $345,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $345,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $345,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $345,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $345,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $345,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $345,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $345,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $334,900
-
2026-03-30$340,000 Active
-
2026-03-22price $340,000
-
2026-03-16price $346,000
-
2026-02-09$349,000 Active
-
2025-06-24soldstatus
-
2025-06-23soldstatus Sold
-
2025-06-18status Pending
-
2025-06-13historical Option
-
2025-02-13$59,500 Active
-
2021-05-19soldstatus
-
2020-09-01soldstatus
-
2020-09-01price $27,000
-
2020-08-31soldstatus Sold
-
2020-08-25status Pending
-
2020-07-17price $33,000
-
2019-06-19price $33,000
-
2019-02-12price $35,000
-
2018-09-17$43,000 Active
-
2013-06-25soldstatus
-
2013-06-14soldstatus
-
2013-05-15$18,000
-
2000-05-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,442 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,314 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,871/yr (+$406/mo · 337.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$1,442
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − HOA
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable loss
- −$5,301
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,272
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,943/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weslaco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844960
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,867
- Composite
- 22.05/100
- National rank
- #8196
- State rank
- #705 of 826 in TX
Livability — Weslaco
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #6469
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Weslaco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,942
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 38% White 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 82%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 72%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.58%
- Current HPI
- 261.5117
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+1816.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $345,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $334,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $340,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $340,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $346,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $349,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-23 Sold (MLS) — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-18 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-06-13 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-02-13 Listed $59,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2021-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-09-01 Price Changed $27,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) — MCALLENMLS
- 2020-08-25 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2020-07-17 Price Changed $33,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2019-06-19 Price Changed $33,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2019-02-12 Price Changed $35,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2018-09-17 Listed $43,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2013-06-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-06-14 Sold (MLS) — MCALLENMLS
- 2013-05-15 Listed $18,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2000-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,442 · -14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…