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3454 Rudometkin Dr #15
C+ Composite 62.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

3454 Rudometkin Dr #15 · Hubbard, OR 97032
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1994 Est $69k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.

Key facts

  • Covered front deck
  • Updated kitchen
  • Bonus shed

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED FRONT DECKATTACHED STORAGE SHEDBONUS SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home in Park; Main level area reported as 924; View: Territorial
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community; Lot rent $825 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric fuel
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (main level living); Resale condition; Facing/has territorial view
  • Construction: Built in 1994; Composition roof; Manufactured home construction
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Territorial view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free‑standing range; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling reported
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Family room; Dining room; Great room; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#57 in OR, #1,930 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • North Marion SD 15 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #131 of 183 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Marion Primary School (326 students, 58% FRL); North Marion Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #124 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 385 students, 52% FRL); North Marion High School (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #107 of 143 statewide, top 78%, 603 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
18.19%
Cash-on-cash
42.50%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,300
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3370 Maple St #44 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (+5%) 1mo $106,000 $109 77
3289 Ash St #61 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+14%) 2mo $61,500 $58 67
3197 Rainbow Loop #10 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+14%) 5mo $55,000 $52 55
3457 Rainbow Loop 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+9%) 22mo $75,500 $75 52
3367 Rainbow Loop #18 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 985 (+7%) 22mo $75,000 $76 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$39,898
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
45.6%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$103,819
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97032

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $522/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$843

Break-even live

Break-even rent $664
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $85,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    remarks 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.

  6. 2026-06-08
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$522 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 57.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,773
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$522
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,662
− Management
−$1,662
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$9,268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,224
After-tax cash flow
$7,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Marion SD 15
NCES district ID
4108880
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,867
Composite
33.51/100
National rank
#10515
State rank
#131 of 183 in OR

Livability — Hubbard

Score
80/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#1930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hubbard, OR
Population (ZIP)
4,810

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
360,940 people
By 2030
375,178 · +3.9%
By 2040
400,914 · +11.1%
By 2050
422,187 · +17.0%
By 2075
460,305 · +27.5%
By 2100
464,025 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 7% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.22%
Current HPI
289.9111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $85,000 RMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $85,000 WVMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $522 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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