3454 Rudometkin Dr #15 · Hubbard, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.
Key facts
- Covered front deck
- Updated kitchen
- Bonus shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Manufactured Home in Park; Main level area reported as 924; View: Territorial
- HOA & community: Not a senior community; Lot rent $825 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric fuel
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Single-story (main level living); Resale condition; Facing/has territorial view
- Construction: Built in 1994; Composition roof; Manufactured home construction
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Territorial view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free‑standing range; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); Second bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling reported
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Family room; Dining room; Great room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#57 in OR, #1,930 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- North Marion SD 15 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #131 of 183 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Marion Primary School (326 students, 58% FRL); North Marion Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #124 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 385 students, 52% FRL); North Marion High School (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #107 of 143 statewide, top 78%, 603 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.50%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,300
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3370 Maple St #44 | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (+5%) | 1mo | $106,000 | $109 | 77 |
| 3289 Ash St #61 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 2mo | $61,500 | $58 | 67 |
| 3197 Rainbow Loop #10 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+14%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $52 | 55 |
| 3457 Rainbow Loop | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+9%) | 22mo | $75,500 | $75 | 52 |
| 3367 Rainbow Loop #18 | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 985 (+7%) | 22mo | $75,000 | $76 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $39,898
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.36×
- Total profit
- $103,819
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97032
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $522/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $843
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-16status $85,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.
-
2026-06-08$85,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath manufactured home is located in an all-age park and offers numerous recent improvements. Interior features includes fresh paint throughout, new luxury vinyl plank flooring, and an updated kitchen remodeled approximately 3 years ago including stainless steel appliances. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces. Outside you will find a covered front deck, carport with an attached storage shed, and a bonus shed. Buyer subject to park approval.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $522 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$302/yr (+$25/mo · 57.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$522
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $9,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Marion SD 15
- NCES district ID
- 4108880
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,867
- Composite
- 33.51/100
- National rank
- #10515
- State rank
- #131 of 183 in OR
Livability — Hubbard
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #1930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hubbard, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,810
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 7% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.22%
- Current HPI
- 289.9111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $85,000 RMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listed $85,000 WVMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $522 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…