273 Odonnal Rd · Springfield, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1 bed/1 bath doublewide. Relax on the rear deck and enjoy the exceptional view of the mountains. Extras include 2 sheds, a covered porch, and a full basement with a partial bathroom.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Exceptional view
- Partial bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood heating
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Full unfinished walk-out basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.78%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $35,600
- Equity at exit
- $37,440
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $90,309
- Equity at exit
- $67,711
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15464
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $888 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $863/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $59,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-12$64,900 Active 182-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$42/yr (+$3/mo · 4.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$863
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $2,689
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,840/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Connellsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206660
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,315
- Composite
- 25.95/100
- National rank
- #7333
- State rank
- #440 of 539 in PA
Livability — Springfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,490
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.94%
- Current HPI
- 150.887
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2026): $863 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…