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273 Odonnal Rd
B+ Composite 75.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,900

273 Odonnal Rd · Springfield, PA 15464
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 920 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 1985 0.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1 bed/1 bath doublewide. Relax on the rear deck and enjoy the exceptional view of the mountains. Extras include 2 sheds, a covered porch, and a full basement with a partial bathroom.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Exceptional view
  • Partial bathroom

Tags

REAR DECKEXCEPTIONAL VIEWCOVERED PORCHFULL BASEMENTPARTIAL BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Full unfinished walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.11%
Cash-on-cash
20.78%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$35,600
Equity at exit
$37,440
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
6.38×
Total profit
$90,309
Equity at exit
$67,711

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15464

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$888 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $863/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $59,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $64,900 Active 182-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$863 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$904 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$42/yr (+$3/mo · 4.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,654
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$863
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$852
− Management
−$852
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,689
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$645
After-tax cash flow
$2,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Connellsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206660
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,315
Composite
25.95/100
National rank
#7333
State rank
#440 of 539 in PA

Livability — Springfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,490

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.94%
Current HPI
150.887
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $863 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…