986 Elmwood St #131 · Reynolds, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $508 – $851
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a playground, community events, a basketball court, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 55 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $24,500
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
- Home design: Single-family property
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,064
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Active listing (spec home)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Tri County Area Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #302 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.78%
- DSCR
- 5.17
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,729
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -83.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20019 Northrup Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 24mo | $130,000 | $114 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $30,806
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- 97.4%
- Equity multiple
- 11.25×
- Total profit
- $71,748
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49329
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $911 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $25,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $24,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$24,500 Active 406-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$875
- − Management
- −$875
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $6,557
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,574
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home has average exterior condition with some wear and faded paint. Painting and repairing the siding would significantly improve its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor roof — No visible damage
- Moderate siding — Siding shows signs of wear
- Major paint — Paint is faded and peeling
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both siding repair — New siding would enhance the home's appearance and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · No visible damage | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| siding · Siding shows signs of wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| paint · Paint is faded and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $18,500–68,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both siding repair — New siding would enhance the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tri County Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633930
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,772
- Composite
- 29.34/100
- National rank
- #6542
- State rank
- #302 of 540 in MI
Livability — Reynolds
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Howard City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,030
Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,011 people
- By 2030
- 59,467 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 55,427 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 50,517 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 38,731 · -36.5%
- By 2100
- 26,770 · -56.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.56%
- Current HPI
- 305.7702
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…