3919 County Route 2 · Addison, NY 14801

$49,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1976 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Nice country setting. House and garage are in need of extensive repairs. Being sold as-is. Ranch home with full basement.

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1976

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
• Utilities: Private well
• Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
• Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Existing construction
• Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular, rural lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Varies
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on main level
• Heating & cooling: Propane heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#768 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
• Addison Central School District (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #563 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.90% ✓
• Cap rate: 34.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 102.46%
• DSCR: 5.56
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $122,304
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3819 County Rte 2	0.40mi	3/1.5	1,296 (+10%)	12mo	$135,000	$104	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.39×
• Total profit: $101,323
• Equity at exit: $44,143

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 18.48×
• Total profit: $239,767
• Equity at exit: $95,196

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14801

• Home prices YoY: 3.3%
• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,911 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$257
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$61 /mo · $735/yr
• Insurance: −$20
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$401
• Net cashflow: $1,171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429

Max offer price $49,000

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,250
• Closing costs: $1,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $49,000 Active 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $49,000 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $49,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $49,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   remarks 121-char remark
7. 2026-06-13
   listed $49,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,937
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,745
• − Property taxes: −$735
• − Insurance: −$245
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,835
• − Management: −$1,835
• − Depreciation: −$1,425
• Taxable income: $14,117
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,388
• After-tax cash flow: $10,669/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Addison Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3602370
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $44,519
• Composite: 28.58/100
• National rank: #6720
• State rank: #563 of 590 in NY

Livability — Addison

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #768
• US rank: #14729

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 5,415

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 93,062 people
• By 2030: 89,793 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 82,353 · -11.5%
• By 2050: 74,286 · -20.2%
• By 2075: 55,589 · -40.3%
• By 2100: 37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 10.75%
• Current HPI: 332.2296
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Listed $49,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,488 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.