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38 & 256 Villa St #2 Multi-family
D+ Composite 49.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

38 & 256 Villa St #2 · Douglas, GA 31533
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,230 sqft · MultiFamily · 17 Days on market
Fair condition 1.22 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

This income-producing property features a 3BR/1BA single-family home and a 2BR/2BA mobile home located on Villa Street in Douglas, Georgia, offering investors immediate cash flow with additional upside through lease-up and rent growth. The 3BR/1BA home is currently rented for $650 per month, while the 2BR/2BA mobile home is vacant and ready for a new tenant. Market comparables support rents of approximately $825 per month for each unit, providing a clear opportunity to increase revenue through leasing and rent optimization. The single-family home has benefited from a new metal roof, helping minimize future maintenance expenses and reducing near-term capital expenditure needs. Located in Dou

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Single family home
  • 1.22 acre lot

Tags

SINGLE FAMILY HOMENEW METAL ROOFAFFORDABLE WORKFORCE HOUSINGSTRONG CASH FLOW POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story building; Multi-unit residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer and metal siding construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Property includes multiple residential income units (multi-family); Zoned R

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.8% in Douglas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#252 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Coffee County (rural): math 28% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #99 of 174 in GA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Coffee County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coffee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,600 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
5.00%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-14,017
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$3,199
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31533

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,400
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $297 -5% $242 +0% $187 +5% $131 +10% $76
Rent -10% $57 -5% $122 +0% $187 +5% $251 +10% $316
Rate -1.0pp $267 -0.5pp $227 base $187 +0.5pp $145 +1.0pp $103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-04
    listed $160,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,630
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,400
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$79
After-tax cash flow
$2,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This multi-family property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, including painting, roof inspection, landscaping, and fence repair. Immediate improvements will enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Mobile home exterior paint — The mobile home appears weathered and in need of paint.
  • Major Mobile home roof — The satellite image shows a metal roof, but the listing photo shows a different roof style.
  • Major Landscaping — The yard is overgrown and unkempt.
  • Major Fencing — The fence is rusted and in need of repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint mobile home exterior — Fresh paint will improve the curb appeal and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance the property's resale and rental value.
  • Both Inspect and repair mobile home roof — A new roof will reduce maintenance costs and improve the property's appearance.
  • Both Inspect and repair fence — A repaired fence will improve the property's safety and curb appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Mobile home exterior paint · The mobile home appears weathered and in need of paint. Major $15,000–50,000
Mobile home roof · The satellite image shows a metal roof, but the listing photo shows a different roof style. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · The yard is overgrown and unkempt. Major $15,000–50,000
Fencing · The fence is rusted and in need of repair. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint mobile home exterior — Fresh paint will improve the curb appeal and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will enhance the property's resale and rental value.
  • Both Inspect and repair mobile home roof — A new roof will reduce maintenance costs and improve the property's appearance.
  • Both Inspect and repair fence — A repaired fence will improve the property's safety and curb appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coffee County
NCES district ID
1301350
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$35,068
Composite
24.36/100
National rank
#7693
State rank
#99 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglas

Score
64/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#14074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,464

Population outlook (Coffee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,255 people
By 2030
43,007 · -0.6%
By 2040
42,337 · -2.1%
By 2050
41,505 · -4.0%
By 2075
39,695 · -8.2%
By 2100
36,090 · -16.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coffee

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.3% · R 72.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -29.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+29.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.34%
Current HPI
186.6264
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $160,000 SGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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