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9229 Arline Ave
C- Composite 54.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

9229 Arline Ave · Overland, MO 63114
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 710 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1947 10,001 sqft lot $155/sqft · at area comps Est $110k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 1947 bungalow located in the heart of Overland! This cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence offers 710 square feet of efficient living space, making it an ideal opportunity for first-time homebuyers, downsizers, or savvy investors looking to add to their portfolio. The home features a classic ranch-style layout with durable asphalt shingle roofing and low-maintenance siding. Step inside to find a functional floor plan equipped with central electric cooling and forced-air heating for year-round comfort. The property sits on an expansive, deep lot ($50' \ times 200'$) providing ample backyard space for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion. Situated on a quiet,

Key facts

  • Forced-air heating
  • Expansive deep lot
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

ASPHALT SHINGLE ROOFINGLOW-MAINTENANCE SIDINGCENTRAL ELECTRIC COOLINGFORCED-AIR HEATINGEXPANSIVE DEEP LOTQUIET PAVED CITY STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; House; Above-grade living area 710 (public records)
  • Construction: Composition roof; Other construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Level lot; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.2% in Overland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#436 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wyland Elem. (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #958 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 490 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $110k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.04%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,398
List price
$109,900
Delta
-0.45%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9440 Baltimore Ave 0.21mi 2/2.0 720 (+1%) 4mo $125,000 $174 81
9034 Argyle Ave 0.23mi 1/1.0 (-1) 726 (+2%) 2mo $70,000 $96 78
3106 Quiet Ln 0.36mi 2/1.0 724 (+2%) 3mo $148,000 $204 78
9024 Windom Ave 0.26mi 1/1.0 (-1) 791 (+11%) 5mo $135,000 $171 60
3534 Calvert Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 720 (+1%) 8mo $150,000 $208 57
2420 E Milton Ave Unit F 0.50mi 2/1.0 792 (+12%) 5mo $169,900 $215 54
3510 Dix Ave 0.69mi 1/1.0 (-1) 696 (-2%) 9mo $108,000 $155 52
3220 Marvin Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 812 (+14%) 6mo $99,900 $123 52
3316 Edmundson Rd 0.57mi 2/1.0 633 (-11%) 6mo $80,000 $126 50
3328 Marvin Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 800 (+13%) 10mo $99,000 $124 46
3219 Royalton Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 792 (+12%) 3mo $102,500 $129 44
3321 Dix Ave 0.57mi 2/1.5 780 (+10%) 13mo $115,000 $147 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-5,797
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$7,370
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63114

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $867/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $879
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $268 -5% $237 +0% $206 +5% $175 +10% $144
Rent -10% $116 -5% $161 +0% $206 +5% $251 +10% $296
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $234 base $206 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 656 $1,235 $1.88 11d 1 0.43mi
2323 Woodson Rd Apt J Overland, MO 1.0 1.0 605 $875 $1.45 44d 1 0.69mi
2323 Woodson Rd Apt I Overland, MO 1.0 1.0 650 $875 $1.35 8d 1 0.69mi
8700 Crocus Ln Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 8d 2 0.80mi
2201 Gaebler Ave Unit A Overland, MO 2.0 1.0 710 $1,250 $1.76 24d 1 0.97mi
3710 Geraldine Ave Apt 3 St Ann, MO 1.0 1.0 400 $675 $1.69 44d 1 1.36mi
10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 734 $1,200 $1.63 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-05-01
    price $119,900 996-char remark
  14. 2026-05-01
    listed $11,900 Active 996-char remark
  15. 2022-02-25
    soldstatus $43,000
  16. 2021-05-12
    soldstatus $29,000
  17. 2004-11-08
    soldstatus $45,000
  18. 2003-10-23
    soldstatus $28,000
  19. 1988-10-01
    soldstatus
  20. 1986-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$867 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$199/yr (+$17/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,677
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$867
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$173
After-tax cash flow
$2,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — Overland

Score
61/100
State rank
#436
US rank
#17870

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Overland, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
33,969
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
33,969
Household income
$55,870
Rent vs Own
41.8% rent · 58.2% own
Severe rent burden
1595.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.62%
Current HPI
223.9305
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+292.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $11,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2022): $867 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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