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5216 Lancaster Ave
D- Composite 38.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

5216 Lancaster Ave · Charleston, WV 25304
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1959 5,009 sqft lot Est $111k · at est. ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-located two-bedroom residential investment property situated on Lancaster Avenue in the desirable Kanawha City area of Charleston, West Virginia. This property offers a practical two-bedroom layout with a full bath and efficient living space designed for long-term tenant demand. Positioned just minutes from CAMC Memorial Hospital, major employers, shopping, dining, and downtown Charleston, the location supports consistent rental activity and long-term stability. Kanawha City remains a sought-after area for both owner-occupants and tenants due to its walkability, established neighborhoods, and convenient access to Route 60 and I-64. An excellent opportunity for investors seeking a stab

Key facts

  • Practical layout
  • Full bath
  • 5,009 sq ft lot

Tags

PRACTICAL LAYOUTFULL BATHEFFICIENT LIVING SPACECONVENIENT ACCESS TO ROUTE 60CONVENIENT ACCESS TO I-64

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Parking pad; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Plaster exterior; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-348/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kanawha City Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 377 statewide, top 68%, 242 students, 0% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #23 of 109 statewide, top 21%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,565 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$110,592
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
475 58th St SE 0.60mi 2/1.0 923 (+7%) 12mo $118,000 $128 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-19,501
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-19,326
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25304

Home prices YoY
-20.8%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$906 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$-29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $103,878
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    price $109,000
  12. 2026-02-20
    price $115,000
  13. 2026-01-31
    price $124,999
  14. 2025-12-29
    listed $130,000 Active
  15. 2022-08-30
    listed $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,868
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,529
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$869
− Management
−$869
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$2,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$533
After-tax cash flow
$185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Charleston

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#524

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charleston, WV
City population
33,502
Population (ZIP)
8,480

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.96%
Current HPI
175.5065
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-5.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $109,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $115,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $124,999 KVBOR
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $130,000 KVBOR
  • 2022-08-30 Listed $115,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,529 · -15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…