5216 Lancaster Ave · Charleston, WV
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-located two-bedroom residential investment property situated on Lancaster Avenue in the desirable Kanawha City area of Charleston, West Virginia. This property offers a practical two-bedroom layout with a full bath and efficient living space designed for long-term tenant demand. Positioned just minutes from CAMC Memorial Hospital, major employers, shopping, dining, and downtown Charleston, the location supports consistent rental activity and long-term stability. Kanawha City remains a sought-after area for both owner-occupants and tenants due to its walkability, established neighborhoods, and convenient access to Route 60 and I-64. An excellent opportunity for investors seeking a stab
Key facts
- Practical layout
- Full bath
- 5,009 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Parking pad; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Plaster exterior; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-348/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $91k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kanawha City Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 377 statewide, top 68%, 242 students, 0% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #23 of 109 statewide, top 21%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.14%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $110,592
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475 58th St SE | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 923 (+7%) | 12mo | $118,000 | $128 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-19,501
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-19,326
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25304
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $906 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $-29
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $109,000 Pending 163 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $109,000
-
2026-02-20price $115,000
-
2026-01-31price $124,999
-
2025-12-29$130,000 Active
-
2022-08-30$115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,529
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$869
- − Management
- −$869
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$2,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$533
- After-tax cash flow
- $185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #524
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charleston, WV
- City population
- 33,502
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,480
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.96%
- Current HPI
- 175.5065
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $109,000 KVBOR
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $115,000 KVBOR
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $124,999 KVBOR
- 2025-12-29 Listed $130,000 KVBOR
- 2022-08-30 Listed $115,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,529 · -15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…