1641 W 27th St Unit D · Riviera Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank Owned. 2 story townhome. Clean unit. Great investment opportunity. Cash only. This information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. BUYER is responsible for verifying all information prior to close.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Corner townhome
- New ac unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; Two parking spaces
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric service; Cable available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two-story; Entry level living area present; Faces north
- Construction: Brick and concrete construction; Shingle roof; Two stories
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No waterfront features
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside the unit; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington Elementary Magnet School (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 253 students, 85% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Gardens High School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,570 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,400/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $260k implies a 1200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.32%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $14,789
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $60,362
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33404
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 506
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,400 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,959/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $1,051
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1400 W 28th St Unit 1 Riviera Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2016 Avenue S Riviera Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1128 | $3,800 | $3.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 815 Silver Beach Rd Lake Park, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $3,000 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 901 W 37th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 855 Date Palm Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $3,150 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1401 W 9th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $3,200 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 520 W 28th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $6,000 | $4.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8731 Uranus Ter West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,200 | $3.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-04-18status Active
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-12historical
-
2025-11-03price $260,000
-
2025-08-25$275,000 Active
-
2025-08-02historical $2,300
-
2025-06-19$2,300
-
2010-01-08soldstatus $20,000 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Bank Owned. 2 story townhome. Clean unit. Great investment opportunity. Cash only. This information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. BUYER is responsible for verifying all information prior to close.
-
2009-12-22historical 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Bank Owned. 2 story townhome. Clean unit. Great investment opportunity. Cash only. This information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. BUYER is responsible for verifying all information prior to close.
-
2009-12-11$25,000 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Bank Owned. 2 story townhome. Clean unit. Great investment opportunity. Cash only. This information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. BUYER is responsible for verifying all information prior to close.
-
2009-12-10historical
-
2009-01-01$90,000
-
1994-11-28soldstatus $9,000
-
1992-09-17soldstatus $15,000
-
1991-05-08soldstatus $40,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,959 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,158 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 10.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,959
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,264
- − Management
- −$3,264
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $8,885
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Riviera Beach
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #581
- US rank
- #11060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riviera Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 30,912
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,912
- Household income
- $65,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.74%
- Current HPI
- 341.1761
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.72%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+542.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-14 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $260,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $275,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-02 Rental Removed $2,300 RMLSFL
- 2025-06-19 Listed for Rent $2,300 RMLSFL
- 2010-01-08 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Beaches MLS
- 2009-12-22 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2009-12-11 Listed $25,000 Beaches MLS
- 2009-12-10 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2009-01-01 Listed $90,000 Beaches MLS
- 1994-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
- 1992-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,959 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…