CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
111 Stockton Dr
D Composite 41.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

111 Stockton Dr · Lafayette, LA 70506
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,321 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1981 0.26 ac lot $107/sqft · at area comps Est $260k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 111 Stockton Drive, a meticulously maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom beauty boasting approx. 2,390 square feet of living space with a lovely sunroom in the heart of Lafayette. Tucked away in a well established neighborhood, this home offers the perfect blend of timeless construction, generous room sizes, and outdoor amenities ideal for gardening and southern living. Multiple living and dining spaces give you flexibility for entertaining or everyday comfort. The spacious renovated kitchen features plenty of countertops, cabinets, storage, a built in oven, and room to gather. A separate dining room, can be used as extended, additional living area. Down the hall, you'll find four bed

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1981

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community includes library, medical facility access, and shopping/mall nearby

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; Garage and open parking (total 2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Community sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Garden/Patio style; City street frontage
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding with frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Covered, enclosed patio/porch; Storage structure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Solid surface and tile counters
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) in bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Wood laminate; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Double vanity; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Solid surface counters; Tile counters; Other counters; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-421/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (2.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Prairie Elementary School (math 45% / reading 55%, grade D+, #125 of 646 statewide, top 20%, 606 students, 55% FRL); Scott Middle School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #143 of 218 statewide, top 65%, 559 students, 65% FRL); Acadiana High School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #125 of 265 statewide, top 47%, 1,813 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 414 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,285 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.60%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$260,413
List price
$249,000
Delta
-4.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 Stockton Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,390 (+3%) 1mo $249,000 $104 94
407 Maple Dr 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,193 (-6%) 3mo $239,000 $109 70
120 Belle Lake Dr 0.36mi 4/3.0 2,212 (-5%) 3mo $323,000 $146 68
124 Belle Lake Dr 0.36mi 4/3.0 2,462 (+6%) 3mo $338,000 $137 67
207 N William Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 2,055 (-12%) 2mo $293,500 $143 63
125 Belle Lake Dr 0.51mi 4/3.0 2,212 (-5%) 3mo $320,500 $145 62
122 Belle Lake Dr 0.36mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,158 (-7%) 3mo $302,000 $140 60
127 Alyene Dr 0.39mi 4/4.0 2,537 (+9%) 2mo $290,000 $114 57
129 Belle Lake Dr 0.51mi 4/3.0 2,491 (+7%) 6mo $335,500 $135 55
127 Belle Lake Dr 0.51mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,158 (-7%) 3mo $299,500 $139 53
121 Bexley Ct 0.72mi 4/3.0 2,072 (-11%) 3mo $299,541 $145 42
203 Greystone Pl 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,604 (+12%) 2mo $625,000 $240 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-40,432
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-29,047
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70506

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
414
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,943 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,925/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,987
Max offer price $242,806
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $106 -5% $35 +0% $-35 +5% $-106 +10% $-176
Rent -10% $-189 -5% $-112 +0% $-35 +5% $42 +10% $118
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $28 base $-35 +0.5pp $-100 +1.0pp $-165

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Highland Dr Lafayette, LA 4.0 2.0 2200 $1,900 $0.86 45d 1 0.24mi
106 Maple Dr Lafayette, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,100 $1.17 15d 1 0.56mi
201 Castle Row Lafayette, LA 3.0 2.0 1595 $1,800 $1.13 15d 1 0.58mi
101 Chateau Pl Lafayette, LA 3.0 2.0 2285 $1,800 $0.79 45d 1 1.10mi
611 Dutton Dr Lafayette, LA 4.0 2.0 1960 $1,725 $0.88 45d 1 1.12mi
106 Braddish Ct Lafayette, LA 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,900 $1.15 22d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    historical $249,000 1447-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,925 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,925 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,314
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$1,925
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,865
− Management
−$1,865
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$4,777
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,147
After-tax cash flow
$726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafayette Parish
NCES district ID
2200870
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -24.00%
Median HH income
$50,238
Composite
36.15/100
National rank
#4741
State rank
#19 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lafayette

Score
70/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#8133

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lafayette, LA
County
Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
City population
158,114
Metro
Lafayette, LA
Population (ZIP)
42,318
Household income
$57,379
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,930 people
By 2030
301,092 · +7.2%
By 2040
339,456 · +20.8%
By 2050
375,156 · +33.5%
By 2075
451,672 · +60.8%
By 2100
497,203 · +77.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Armenian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.28%
Current HPI
140.8445
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Lafayette, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $249,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-23 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $249,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $249,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,925 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…