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114 Cedar Ave
B Composite 74.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

114 Cedar Ave · Norfolk, NE 68701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 566 Days on market
Built 1915 $98/sqft · 40% below area Est $174k · 11% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

Key facts

  • Ample outdoor space
  • Wood deck
  • Built 1915

Tags

WOOD DECKAMPLE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $755 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.2% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#54 in NE, #2,611 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Norfolk Public Schools (town): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #84 of 111 in NE (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 230 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 270 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 566 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 566 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.14%
Cash-on-cash
20.89%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,000
List price
$155,000
Delta
-10.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 Oak St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (-1%) 9mo $253,000 $162 74
200 Cedar Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,754 (+11%) 9mo $170,000 $97 68
203 Maple Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+10%) 16mo $232,500 $135 57
105 Klug Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,661 (+5%) 20mo $179,000 $108 55
1007 N 8th St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,472 (-7%) 14mo $206,000 $140 53
703 Spruce Ave 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,591 (+1%) 19mo $210,000 $132 51
906 Harrison Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,684 (+7%) 2mo $215,000 $128 50
703 Hespe Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,476 (-6%) 8mo $253,000 $171 50
1010 7th St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 23mo $262,500 $182 46
401 Hespe Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,431 (-9%) 13mo $235,000 $164 39
904 Larayne Ln 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,399 (-11%) 8mo $235,000 $168 36
1200 Queen City Blvd 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,731 (+10%) 18mo $172,500 $100 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$23,641
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$85,204
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68701

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
230
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,172 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$456
Net cashflow
$755

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1401 Lakewood Dr Norfolk, NE 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 937 $1,345 $1.43 23d 2 0.63mi
1007 E Maple Ave Norfolk, NE 3.0 2.0 2050 $3,595 $1.75 23d 1 0.76mi
1208 Koenigstein Ave Norfolk, NE 3.0 1.5 1140 $2,200 $1.93 43d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 566 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 565 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 564 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 563 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 562 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 560 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $155,000 Active 559 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 556 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 555 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 554 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 551 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 550 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 549 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 548 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 547 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 546 DOM
  17. 2025-08-22
    status Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

  18. 2025-08-01
    historical 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

  19. 2025-07-24
    price $155,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

  20. 2025-04-29
    price $165,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

  21. 2024-11-08
    listed $185,000 Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Nestled at 114 W Cedar, this affordable home features two bedrooms upstairs primary bedroom on the main floor and a single bath with main floor laundry. wood deck, ample outdoor space and recently replaced driveway.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,000 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,682 · $223/mo
Expected delta
+$1,681/yr (+$140/mo · 168.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,069
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,000
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,086
− Management
−$2,086
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$6,931
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,663
After-tax cash flow
$7,402/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174430
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,579
Composite
38.31/100
National rank
#4227
State rank
#84 of 111 in NE

Livability — Norfolk

Score
78/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#2611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, NE
County
Madison County · 31,417 people
City population
31,417
Metro
Norfolk, NE
Population (ZIP)
31,417
Household income
$62,633
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
861.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,536 people
By 2030
35,518 · -0.1%
By 2040
35,170 · -1.0%
By 2050
34,606 · -2.6%
By 2075
34,522 · -2.9%
By 2100
34,307 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.0) · D 21.4% · R 77.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -56.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.0 2020: R+53.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+48.1 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.61%
Current HPI
260.5574
Rent YoY
▲ 3.31%
Metro
Norfolk, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-22 Relisted NNEMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Delisted NNEMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $155,000 NNEMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Price Changed $165,000 NNEMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Listed $185,000 NNEMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,000 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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