714 Fountain Ave · Lancaster, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SUN IN THE MORNING * BRIGHT * VERY NEAT AND CLEAN * STON E FIREPLACE * BUILT-INBOOKCASES * COVERED PATIO * CERAMI C TILE * WELL MAINTAINED * HAVE A LOOK *
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Screened porch
- Newer windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two driveway spaces; Off-street and on-street parking available; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service; Electric hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached; Very good condition; Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone
- Construction: Brick/masonry construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Replacement windows with screens; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range - Electric
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Formal separate dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Plaster walls
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-696/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#71 in PA, #498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
- Manheim Township SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #61 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $265k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,088
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Fountain Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,445 (+3%) | 3mo | $321,500 | $222 | 90 |
| 837 Fountain Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,422 (+1%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $211 | 89 |
| 1055 Louise Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-7%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $255 | 68 |
| 729 Skyline Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,327 (-6%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $211 | 67 |
| 561 Burrowes Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-10%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $210 | 58 |
| 319 N Reservoir St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+3%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $241 | 58 |
| 804 N Plum St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (-8%) | 3mo | $292,500 | $225 | 58 |
| 1007 E Walnut St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-3%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $210 | 56 |
| 521 Hamilton St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,295 (-8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $178 | 53 |
| 1015 E Walnut St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (-6%) | 3mo | $309,900 | $235 | 51 |
| 627 E Madison St | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,476 (+5%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $203 | 46 |
| 826 N Plum St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (+14%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $159 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-44,445
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-34,289
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17601
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,177 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $-58
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $92 | -5% $17 | +0% $-58 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-230 | -5% $-144 | +0% $-58 | +5% $28 | +10% $114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $75 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-58 | +0.5pp $-127 | +1.0pp $-197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 862 Pleasure Rd Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1707 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 766 New Holland Ave Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 701 Martha Ave Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1096 | $2,600 | $2.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 631 E Frederick St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1830 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 836 N Plum St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,150 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 50 Knollwood Dr Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1067 | $1,925 | $1.80 | 15d | 3 | 0.70mi |
| 1000 Strand WAY Neffsville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $2,850 | $2.76 | 15d | 15 | 0.70mi |
| 738 E Madison St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 135 E Ross St Unit 2nd Floor Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1405 Oregon Pike Apt A Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 231 N Shippen St #224 Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,285 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 860 N Market St Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1522 Princess Anne Dr Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1216 Clark St Lancaster, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $2,195 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5000 Foundry Dr Lancaster, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,575 | $2.65 | 15d | 10 | 1.18mi |
| 816 N Prince St Lancaster, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 794 | $2,195 | $2.76 | 15d | 7 | 1.19mi |
| 425 N Prince St Apt 206 Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,995 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 225 E King St Unit 2 Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1075 | $2,600 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 225 E King St Unit 1 Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,950 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 202 N Queen St Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 697 | $2,718 | $3.90 | 15d | 12 | 1.29mi |
| 2500 Hickory Dr Lancaster, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1711 | $2,650 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 118 N Prince St Lancaster, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1274 | $4,703 | $3.69 | 15d | 48 | 1.43mi |
| 337 W Lemon St Unit 2 Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1588 | $1,895 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-21$265,000 Active
-
2001-01-30soldstatus $86,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
SUN IN THE MORNING * BRIGHT * VERY NEAT AND CLEAN * STON E FIREPLACE * BUILT-INBOOKCASES * COVERED PATIO * CERAMI C TILE * WELL MAINTAINED * HAVE A LOOK *
-
2000-12-15soldstatus $86,000
-
2000-08-14$87,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
SUN IN THE MORNING * BRIGHT * VERY NEAT AND CLEAN * STON E FIREPLACE * BUILT-INBOOKCASES * COVERED PATIO * CERAMI C TILE * WELL MAINTAINED * HAVE A LOOK *
-
2000-08-14historical 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
SUN IN THE MORNING * BRIGHT * VERY NEAT AND CLEAN * STON E FIREPLACE * BUILT-INBOOKCASES * COVERED PATIO * CERAMI C TILE * WELL MAINTAINED * HAVE A LOOK *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,334 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,760 · $313/mo
- Expected delta
- +$427/yr (+$36/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,334
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,090
- − Management
- −$2,090
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$5,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manheim Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214580
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,335
- Composite
- 53.18/100
- National rank
- #1506
- State rank
- #61 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 176,170
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,382
- Household income
- $102,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.04%
- Current HPI
- 257.0336
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.99%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+204.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-01-30 Sold (MLS) $86,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-08-14 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,334 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…