14 Sioux Trl · Crawfordville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.
Key facts
- Solid foundation
- Outdoor space
- Spacious layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: For sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (garage present)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Fiber cement construction; Paved road access
- Construction: Fiber cement exterior
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Fenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10 x 12); Bedroom 3 (10 x 12)
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Utility room; Living room; Family room; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (13 x 14)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in Crawfordville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in FL, #2,943 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.44%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,020
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Susquehanna Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (-2%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $165 | 91 |
| 15 Kiowa Trl | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-3%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $184 | 89 |
| 16 Pueblo Trl | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-2%) | 2mo | $217,500 | $177 | 85 |
| 115 Comanche Trl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,271 (+1%) | 1mo | $232,000 | $183 | 83 |
| 1 Blackfoot Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-2%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $168 | 82 |
| 19 Oneida St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,258 (-0%) | 2mo | $224,900 | $179 | 78 |
| 63 Pawnee Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-4%) | 1mo | $215,900 | $178 | 76 |
| 46 Choctaw Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+2%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $163 | 76 |
| 75 Blackfoot Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-4%) | 1mo | $216,296 | $178 | 74 |
| 50 Choctaw Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+3%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $161 | 73 |
| 62 Cochise St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (-4%) | 1mo | $214,830 | $177 | 66 |
| 145 Renegade Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,321 (+5%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $174 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,573
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $13,260
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32327
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,817 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Susquehanna Trl Crawfordville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1173 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3 Leslie Cir Crawfordville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2025-12-03price $179,000
-
2025-11-19$185,000 Active
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-07-21price $185,000
-
2025-07-14$189,000 Active
-
2021-08-12soldstatus $165,000 Closed 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.
-
2021-08-06soldstatus $165,000
-
2021-07-05historical Active Under Contract 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.
-
2021-07-03$159,900 Active 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.
-
2006-09-05soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,842 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,842 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,842
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,744
- − Management
- −$1,744
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable income
- $346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$83
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wakulla
- NCES district ID
- 1201950
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,740
- Composite
- 48.12/100
- National rank
- #2183
- State rank
- #18 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crawfordville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wakulla County · 31,445 people
- City population
- 31,445
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,445
- Household income
- $84,138
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 360.0
Population outlook (Wakulla County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,809 people
- By 2030
- 33,165 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 33,245 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 32,539 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 29,676 · -9.5%
- By 2100
- 22,931 · -30.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wakulla
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.4% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+24.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.59%
- Current HPI
- 302.1883
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.18%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+272.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $179,000 CATRS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $185,000 CATRS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — CATRS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $185,000 CATRS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $189,000 CATRS
- 2021-08-12 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CATRS
- 2021-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-05 Contingent — CATRS
- 2021-07-03 Listed $159,900 CATRS
- 2006-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,842 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…