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14 Sioux Trl
B- Composite 65.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,000

14 Sioux Trl · Crawfordville, FL 32327
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 196 Days on market
Built 2007 4,791 sqft lot Est $223k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.

Key facts

  • Solid foundation
  • Outdoor space
  • Spacious layout

Tags

SOLID FOUNDATIONSPACIOUS LAYOUTOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: For sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (garage present)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Fiber cement construction; Paved road access
  • Construction: Fiber cement exterior
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10 x 12); Bedroom 3 (10 x 12)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Utility room; Living room; Family room; Dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room (13 x 14)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.3% in Crawfordville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in FL, #2,943 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.44%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$223,020
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38 Susquehanna Trl 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,241 (-2%) 3mo $205,000 $165 91
15 Kiowa Trl 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-3%) 1mo $224,900 $184 89
16 Pueblo Trl 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-2%) 2mo $217,500 $177 85
115 Comanche Trl 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,271 (+1%) 1mo $232,000 $183 83
1 Blackfoot Rd 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-2%) 1mo $207,000 $168 82
19 Oneida St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,258 (-0%) 2mo $224,900 $179 78
63 Pawnee Trl 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,215 (-4%) 1mo $215,900 $178 76
46 Choctaw Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+2%) 2mo $209,900 $163 76
75 Blackfoot Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,215 (-4%) 1mo $216,296 $178 74
50 Choctaw Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+3%) 2mo $209,900 $161 73
62 Cochise St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,215 (-4%) 1mo $214,830 $177 66
145 Renegade Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,321 (+5%) 1mo $230,000 $174 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-11,573
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$13,260
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32327

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,817 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,842/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
60 Susquehanna Trl Crawfordville, FL 3.0 2.0 1173 $1,500 $1.28 21d 1 0.12mi
3 Leslie Cir Crawfordville, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,600 $1.37 13d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Active 196 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 195 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 194 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 193 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 192 DOM
  6. 2025-12-03
    price $179,000
  7. 2025-11-19
    listed $185,000 Active
  8. 2025-10-31
    historical
  9. 2025-07-21
    price $185,000
  10. 2025-07-14
    listed $189,000 Active
  11. 2021-08-12
    soldstatus $165,000 Closed 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.

  12. 2021-08-06
    soldstatus $165,000
  13. 2021-07-05
    historical Active Under Contract 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.

  14. 2021-07-03
    listed $159,900 Active 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    The Rocking Chair Front Porch welcomes you to this 3 Bedroom 2 Bath House with 1 Car Garage on 1 1/2 Lots. Spacious Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling offers Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets(2 Lazy Suzans), All Appliances and Bar Overlooking Dining Room. Master Bedroom has Trey Ceiling and Large Closet. Utility Room with Mud Sink Adjoins the 1 Car Garage. Ceramic Tile Floors Throughout Except for Carpet in the Bedrooms(Seller will install new carpet prior to closing and re-hang closet doors). The Back Patio overlooks Privacy Fenced Backyard.

  15. 2006-09-05
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,842 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,842 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,806
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,842
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$346
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$83
After-tax cash flow
$3,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wakulla
NCES district ID
1201950
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,740
Composite
48.12/100
National rank
#2183
State rank
#18 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crawfordville

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wakulla County · 31,445 people
City population
31,445
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,445
Household income
$84,138
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
360.0

Population outlook (Wakulla County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,809 people
By 2030
33,165 · +1.1%
By 2040
33,245 · +1.3%
By 2050
32,539 · -0.8%
By 2075
29,676 · -9.5%
By 2100
22,931 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wakulla

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.4% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.59%
Current HPI
302.1883
Rent YoY
▲ 3.18%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+272.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $179,000 CATRS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $185,000 CATRS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $185,000 CATRS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $189,000 CATRS
  • 2021-08-12 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CATRS
  • 2021-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-05 Contingent CATRS
  • 2021-07-03 Listed $159,900 CATRS
  • 2006-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,842 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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