500 Village Road Rd Unit 414 510 · Breckenridge, CO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 73°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$9,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Winter Floating and Summer Floating, 2 Bed/2 bath Annual 22,400 points. This exclusive, 5 Star Hilton Resort is nestled near the base of Peak 9, located walking distance to the slopes & shops and dining. Each Villa has a gas fireplace. Amenities include hot tubs, heated pool, game room, fitness center, concierge service & complimentary in-town shuttle. Points are exchangeable with RCI or use them with Hilton properties. Day Use & Bonus Time are available with your ownership. Sales qualify for Elite Status.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Hot tubs
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: On-site management; Reception area; Steam room; Building has elevators; Building name: Valdoro Mt. Lodge; Subdivision: Valdoro Mountain Lodge Condo; Directions: Park Ave to Village Road. Resort on right.
- Financial info: Association fee reported annually (see listing for amount and frequency)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with fitness center; Annual association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Underground parking
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Propane; Phone available; Public sewer; Septic tank; Water available; Cable available; Cable connected
- Home design: Residential timeshare; Multi-family zoning; Has a view
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Satellite dish
- Exterior features: Deck; Private pool; Community pool; Spa/Hot tub; Therapeutic whirlpool; City lot; Near public transit; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range hood; Water purifier
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Gas fireplace
- Interior features: Elevator; Sauna; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $9k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 264.9% vs local median 0.7% in Breckenridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#62 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Summit School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #35 of 86 in CO (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 622 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 308 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (123 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($121k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $66 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $285 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 32.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 264.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 923.75%
- DSCR
- 42.10
- GRM
- 0.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $7,294
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Village Rd #214 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (0%) | 2mo | $2,500 | $2 | 98 |
| 500 Village Rd #120 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (0%) | 14mo | $6,000 | $6 | 88 |
| 500 Village Rd Unit 319 415 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (0%) | 15mo | $11,000 | $11 | 88 |
| 500 Village Rd #511 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (0%) | 18mo | $8,000 | $8 | 85 |
| 600 S Main St #4310 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,031 (-1%) | 11mo | $5,000 | $5 | 73 |
| 75 Snowflake Dr #5206 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (+10%) | 6mo | $8,900 | $8 | 69 |
| 430 S Ridge St Unit F3 | 0.37mi | 2/2.5 | 1,024 (-2%) | 11mo | $6,000 | $6 | 68 |
| 600 S Main St #4408 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 989 (-5%) | 14mo | $6,000 | $6 | 64 |
| 865 Four Oclock Rd Unit E3 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,118 (+7%) | 16mo | $588,000 | $526 | 61 |
| 75 Snowflake Dr #5209 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (+10%) | 16mo | $8,000 | $7 | 61 |
| 500 Village Rd. Rd #308 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 917 (-12%) | 12mo | $5,000 | $5 | 61 |
| 401 S French St Unit G1 | 0.37mi | 2/2.5 | 911 (-13%) | 14mo | $8,000 | $9 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 49.55×
- Total profit
- $129,132
- Equity at exit
- $1,416
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 106.79×
- Total profit
- $281,414
- Equity at exit
- $821
Cash invested: $2,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80424
- Active inventory
- 622
- Price-to-rent
- 0.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$50
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$12 /mo · $142/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$339
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$652
- Net cashflow
- $2,048
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,054 | -5% $2,051 | +0% $2,048 | +5% $2,044 | +10% $2,041 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,802 | -5% $1,925 | +0% $2,048 | +5% $2,170 | +10% $2,293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,052 | -0.5pp $2,050 | base $2,048 | +0.5pp $2,045 | +1.0pp $2,043 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,375
- Closing costs
- $285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 E. Washington RD Breckenridge, CO | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.5 | 1760 | $4,067 | $2.31 | 3d | 2 | 0.70mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $339 · $4,068/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgymdoorman
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $9,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $9,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $9,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $9,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $9,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $9,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $9,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $9,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $9,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $9,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $9,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $9,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $9,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $9,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $9,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $9,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-03-12$9,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 11 d/yr ≥73°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$532
- − Property taxes
- −$142
- − Insurance
- −$48
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,980
- − Management
- −$2,980
- − HOA
- −$4,068
- − Depreciation
- −$276
- Taxable income
- $26,224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $18,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Summit School District No. RE-1
- NCES district ID
- 0806810
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,591
- Composite
- 31.97/100
- National rank
- #5840
- State rank
- #35 of 86 in CO
Livability — Breckenridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #6014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Breckenridge, CO
- County
- Summit County · 31,352 people
- City population
- 9,764
- Metro
- Breckenridge, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,764
- Household income
- $120,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 181.0
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,421 people
- By 2030
- 37,983 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 42,597 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 46,695 · +31.8%
- By 2075
- 55,288 · +56.1%
- By 2100
- 61,033 · +72.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+37.2) · D 67.0% · R 29.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: 33.0pp · 2024: 37.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+37.2 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+24.4 2008: D+33.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -389.29%
- Current HPI
- 311.0453
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Breckenridge, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $9,500 SAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…