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10 Castle Rd
B Composite 71.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

10 Castle Rd · Hartland, ME 04942
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other · 4 Days on market
Built 1972 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OLDER MOBILE HOME HAS BEEN REDONE GOOD SHAPE ON ATV TRAILS NEAR PUBLIC BOAT LAUNCH ON MAINSTREAM WIDE WATERS GREAT FOR CAMP OR YEAR ROUND HOME 1/2 HOUR FROM I95 NEWPORT

Key facts

  • Quiet rural setting
  • Front porch
  • Back deck

Tags

DIRECT ATV TRAIL ACCESSFRONT PORCHBACK DECKQUIET RURAL SETTINGMINUTES FROM GREAT MOOSE LAKEYEAR ROUND RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($991 rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.9% in Hartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#120 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Harmony Public Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #152 of 185 in ME (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
  • Somerset County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $85k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.83%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$51,185
Equity at exit
$64,565
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
6.73×
Total profit
$136,425
Equity at exit
$128,150

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04942

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$991 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $669
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $303 -5% $278 +0% $254 +5% $230 +10% $206
Rent -10% $176 -5% $215 +0% $254 +5% $294 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $297 -0.5pp $276 base $254 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $210

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $85,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-16
    price $71,500
  4. 2026-04-10
    price $73,000
  5. 2024-06-14
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    OLDER MOBILE HOME HAS BEEN REDONE GOOD SHAPE ON ATV TRAILS NEAR PUBLIC BOAT LAUNCH ON MAINSTREAM WIDE WATERS GREAT FOR CAMP OR YEAR ROUND HOME 1/2 HOUR FROM I95 NEWPORT

  6. 2024-06-08
    status Pending 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    OLDER MOBILE HOME HAS BEEN REDONE GOOD SHAPE ON ATV TRAILS NEAR PUBLIC BOAT LAUNCH ON MAINSTREAM WIDE WATERS GREAT FOR CAMP OR YEAR ROUND HOME 1/2 HOUR FROM I95 NEWPORT

  7. 2024-05-31
    listed $60,000 Active 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    OLDER MOBILE HOME HAS BEEN REDONE GOOD SHAPE ON ATV TRAILS NEAR PUBLIC BOAT LAUNCH ON MAINSTREAM WIDE WATERS GREAT FOR CAMP OR YEAR ROUND HOME 1/2 HOUR FROM I95 NEWPORT

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$864 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$292/yr (+$24/mo · 51.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,896
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$1,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$423
After-tax cash flow
$2,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harmony Public Schools
NCES district ID
2306330
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$31,217
Composite
31.13/100
National rank
#11285
State rank
#152 of 185 in ME

Livability — Hartland

Score
61/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#18210

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,154

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,335 people
By 2030
46,268 · -4.3%
By 2040
41,276 · -14.6%
By 2050
36,137 · -25.2%
By 2075
26,408 · -45.4%
By 2100
18,836 · -61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% Lithuanian 8% Serbian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.6% · R 62.7% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-32.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+22.8 2012: D+1.7 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.00%
Current HPI
182.5242
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+41.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $85,000 MREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $71,500 MREIS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $73,000 MREIS
  • 2024-06-14 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MREIS
  • 2024-06-08 Pending MREIS
  • 2024-05-31 Listed $60,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $571 · +27.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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