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21070 US Rt 52
D+ Composite 45.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$132,900

21070 US Rt 52 · Rome (Stout), OH 45684
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1994 2.63 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2 bed, 1 bath manufactured home with an attached enclosed porch that adds additional living and relaxation space. The standout feature is the oversized detached garage with room for 2-4 vehicles, making it ideal for car enthusiasts, storage, or a workshop. A great property offering both functionality and convenience.

Key facts

  • 2.63 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1994

Tags

ATTACHED ENCLOSED PORCHOVERSIZED DETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning; Lot is less than 0.5 acre
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family home; Traditional style; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Barn on property; Vinyl windows

Interior

  • Kitchen: Vinyl flooring in kitchen; Kitchen approx. 13 x 13; Appliances included: Dishwasher, Oven/Range, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (Primary: 13 x 10; Second: 13 x 9)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 7 x 7); Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-897/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (9.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (22.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Manchester Local (rural): math 38% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #497 of 656 in OH (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $133k implies a 303% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,659 (22.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.27%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$15,337
Equity at exit
$64,109
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$56,352
Equity at exit
$102,324

Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45684

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$697
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $899/yr
Insurance
$55
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$-75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,131
Max offer price $119,690
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $0 -5% $-37 +0% $-75 +5% $-112 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-116 +0% $-75 +5% $-34 +10% $7
Rate -1.0pp $-8 -0.5pp $-41 base $-75 +0.5pp $-109 +1.0pp $-144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,225
Closing costs
$3,987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,900 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,900 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,900 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,900 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $132,900 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $132,900 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,900 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,900 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,900 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,900 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,900 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,900 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,900 Active 87 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,900 Active 86 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $132,900 Active
  16. 2021-01-13
    historical Contingency Pending
  17. 2021-01-11
    historical
  18. 2020-11-23
    price $59,900
  19. 2020-10-06
    status Active
  20. 2020-09-27
    historical Contingency Pending
  21. 2020-09-14
    listed $65,000 Active
  22. 2003-07-17
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$899 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,486 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$587/yr (+$49/mo · 65.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,439
− Mortgage interest
−$7,444
− Property taxes
−$899
− Insurance
−$1,462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$3,866
Taxable loss
−$3,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$773
After-tax cash flow
$-124/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester Local
NCES district ID
3900537
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,374
Composite
38.23/100
National rank
#4246
State rank
#497 of 656 in OH

Livability — Rome (Stout)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome (Stout), OH
County
Adams · 32,832 people
Population (ZIP)
1,577
Household income
$52,000
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
1.1

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,467 people
By 2030
25,354 · -4.2%
By 2040
22,951 · -13.3%
By 2050
20,394 · -22.9%
By 2075
14,824 · -44.0%
By 2100
9,909 · -62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.9% · R 82.6%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.58%
Current HPI
190.4123
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $132,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2021-01-13 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2021-01-11 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2020-11-23 Price Changed $59,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2020-10-06 Relisted Cincy MLS
  • 2020-09-27 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2020-09-14 Listed $65,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $899 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…