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The Coleman Brunswick Ave
D Composite 44.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$274,990

The Coleman Brunswick Ave · Kimberly, AL 35091
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,053 sqft · SingleFamily · 302 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot $134/sqft · 5% below area Est $290k · 5% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman invites you with a covered front porch entry leading to an open-concept dining room, or a study if you wish. Enjoy expansive sight lines across the back of the home, seamlessly connecting the family room, breakfast nook, and open kitchen, complete with an optional center island. Upstairs, discover four bedrooms, including an owner's suite with 9ft high ceilings and a spacious walk-in closet. There's also a secondary bathroom designed for multiple users and a centrally located laundry room. Personalize your finishes to make this home uniquely yours. Reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Breakfast nook
  • Kitchen

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHDINING ROOMFAMILY ROOMBREAKFAST NOOKKITCHENOWNER'S SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-403 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (21.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Kimberly — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#99 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary School (math 32% / reading 56%, grade F, #194 of 627 statewide, top 32%, 681 students, 37% FRL); North Jefferson Middle School (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #134 of 257 statewide, top 53%, 666 students, 52% FRL); Mortimer Jordan High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #114 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 861 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jefferson County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,000 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.24%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$289,922
List price
$274,990
Delta
-5.15%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9351 Brunswick Ave 0.02mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 0mo $276,995 $143 84
9340 Brunswick Ave 0.02mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 3mo $288,625 $149 82
9312 Brunswick Ave 0.00mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 5mo $275,995 $143 81
9327 Brunswick Ave 0.02mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,237 (+9%) 3mo $305,490 $137 77
9319 Brunswick Ave 0.03mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 4mo $294,595 $132 76
9706 Highland Ln 0.46mi 4/2.5 2,144 (+4%) 0mo $360,000 $168 71
9324 Brunswick Ave 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,754 (-15%) 6mo $289,850 $165 68
9510 Pharris Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,753 (-15%) 5mo $267,000 $152 48
1708 Bone Dry Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,748 (-15%) 6mo $287,000 $164 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$124,192
Equity at exit
$247,733
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
6.01×
Total profit
$386,034
Equity at exit
$534,245

Cash invested: $76,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
22 active · 28 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$284,945 ($134/sqft)
Median days on market
235 d
This list price
32% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+5.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 35091

Home prices YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax est. 1.5%
$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$-403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,490
Max offer price $216,726
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-213 -5% $-308 +0% $-403 +5% $-498 +10% $-593
Rent -10% $-559 -5% $-481 +0% $-403 +5% $-324 +10% $-246
Rate -1.0pp $-264 -0.5pp $-333 base $-403 +0.5pp $-474 +1.0pp $-546

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,748
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
516 Way Station Pl Kimberly, AL 4.0 3.0 2256 $1,980 $0.88 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $274,990 Active 302 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $274,990 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $274,990 Active 300 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $274,990 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $274,990 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $274,990 Active 297 DOM
  7. 2026-08-01
    price $274,990 Active 294 DOM
  8. 2026-07-31
    days on market $273,900 Active 294 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $273,900 Active 292 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $273,900 Active 291 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $273,900 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $273,900 Active 287 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $273,900 Active 286 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $273,900 Active 285 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $273,900 Active 284 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $273,900 Active 283 DOM
  17. 2026-07-19
    days on market $273,900 Active 281 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $273,900 Active 280 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $273,900 Active 279 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $273,900 Active 278 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $273,900 Active 277 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $273,900 Active 276 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $273,900 Active 275 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $273,900 Active 274 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $273,900 Active 273 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $273,900 Active 272 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $273,900 Active 270 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $273,900 Active 269 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $273,900 Active 268 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $273,900 Active 266 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $273,900 Active 265 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $273,900 Active 264 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $273,900 Active 263 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $273,900 Active 262 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $273,900 Active 261 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $273,900 Active 260 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $273,900 Active 259 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $273,900 Active 257 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $273,900 Active 255 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $273,900 Active 254 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $273,900 Active 251 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $273,900 Active 250 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $273,900 Active 249 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $273,900 Active 248 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $273,900 Active 246 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $273,900 Active 243 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $273,900 Active 242 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $273,900 Active 241 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $273,900 Active 240 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $273,900 Active 236 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,760
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,125
− Insurance
−$2,172
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,901
− Management
−$1,901
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,338
After-tax cash flow
$-2,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value. The home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics can be further enhanced with some minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase the home's value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can improve convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers/renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and add value to the property.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 33/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Bryan Elementary School F AL #194/627 Nat'l #17,190/41,679 Middle North Jefferson Middle School F AL #134/257 Nat'l #9,290/14,009 High Mortimer Jordan High School F AL #114/305 Nat'l #12,347/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Kimberly

Score
66/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#11415

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kimberly, AL
County
Jefferson · 669,185 people
Metro
Birmingham, AL
Population (ZIP)
3,632
Household income
$93,444
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
99% English-only · Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $273,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $271,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Price Changed $279,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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