The Coleman Brunswick Ave · Kimberly, AL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$274,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman invites you with a covered front porch entry leading to an open-concept dining room, or a study if you wish. Enjoy expansive sight lines across the back of the home, seamlessly connecting the family room, breakfast nook, and open kitchen, complete with an optional center island. Upstairs, discover four bedrooms, including an owner's suite with 9ft high ceilings and a spacious walk-in closet. There's also a secondary bathroom designed for multiple users and a centrally located laundry room. Personalize your finishes to make this home uniquely yours. Reach out today to learn more or schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Breakfast nook
- Kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-403 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (21.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Kimberly — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#99 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary School (math 32% / reading 56%, grade F, #194 of 627 statewide, top 32%, 681 students, 37% FRL); North Jefferson Middle School (math 13% / reading 45%, grade F, #134 of 257 statewide, top 53%, 666 students, 52% FRL); Mortimer Jordan High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #114 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 861 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jefferson County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.24%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,922
- List price
- $274,990
- Delta
- -5.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9351 Brunswick Ave | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 0mo | $276,995 | $143 | 84 |
| 9340 Brunswick Ave | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 3mo | $288,625 | $149 | 82 |
| 9312 Brunswick Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 5mo | $275,995 | $143 | 81 |
| 9327 Brunswick Ave | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,237 (+9%) | 3mo | $305,490 | $137 | 77 |
| 9319 Brunswick Ave | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 4mo | $294,595 | $132 | 76 |
| 9706 Highland Ln | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,144 (+4%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $168 | 71 |
| 9324 Brunswick Ave | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,754 (-15%) | 6mo | $289,850 | $165 | 68 |
| 9510 Pharris Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,753 (-15%) | 5mo | $267,000 | $152 | 48 |
| 1708 Bone Dry Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-15%) | 6mo | $287,000 | $164 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $124,192
- Equity at exit
- $247,733
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $386,034
- Equity at exit
- $534,245
Cash invested: $76,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 28 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $284,945 ($134/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 235 d
- This list price
- 32% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35091
- Home prices YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-403
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-213 | -5% $-308 | +0% $-403 | +5% $-498 | +10% $-593 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-559 | -5% $-481 | +0% $-403 | +5% $-324 | +10% $-246 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-264 | -0.5pp $-333 | base $-403 | +0.5pp $-474 | +1.0pp $-546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,748
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Way Station Pl Kimberly, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2256 | $1,980 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $274,990 Active 302 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $274,990 Active 301 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $274,990 Active 300 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $274,990 Active 299 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $274,990 Active 298 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $274,990 Active 297 DOM
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2026-08-01price $274,990 Active 294 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $273,900 Active 294 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $273,900 Active 292 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $273,900 Active 291 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $273,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $273,900 Active 287 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $273,900 Active 286 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $273,900 Active 285 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $273,900 Active 284 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $273,900 Active 283 DOM
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2026-07-19days on market $273,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $273,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $273,900 Active 279 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $273,900 Active 278 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $273,900 Active 277 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $273,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $273,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $273,900 Active 274 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $273,900 Active 273 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $273,900 Active 272 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $273,900 Active 270 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $273,900 Active 269 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $273,900 Active 268 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $273,900 Active 266 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $273,900 Active 265 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $273,900 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $273,900 Active 263 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $273,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $273,900 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $273,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $273,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $273,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $273,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $273,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $273,900 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $273,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $273,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $273,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $273,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $273,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $273,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $273,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $273,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $273,900 Active 236 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$2,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$9,742
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,338
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value. The home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics can be further enhanced with some minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replacing the carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can improve convenience and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Kimberly
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #11415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kimberly, AL
- County
- Jefferson · 669,185 people
- Metro
- Birmingham, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,632
- Household income
- $93,444
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.37%
- Current HPI
- 265.4636
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-5.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $273,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $271,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $279,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $299,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…