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9090 Salem Rd
A- Composite 81.28
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$185,000

9090 Salem Rd · Saint Cloud, FL 34773
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,356 sqft · Manufactured public records · 24 Days on market
Built 2003 0.94 ac lot Est $344k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

Key facts

  • Access to shopping
  • 0.94 acre lot
  • Built 2003

Tags

SPACIOUS GROSS LIVING AREAACCESS TO SHOPPINGACCESS TO MAJOR ROADSPRIVATE TUCKED-AWAY RETREAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harmony Community School (math 70% / reading 64%, grade B+, #450 of 2,144 statewide, top 22%, 1,012 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Osceola average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $416 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-863 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.84%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$343,976
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9090 Salem Rd 0.00mi 5/2.0 2,356 (0%) 0mo $154,350 $66 100
9020 Concord Rd 0.41mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,292 (-3%) 2mo $440,000 $192 65
5165 Apollo Ave 0.68mi 5/2.0 2,052 (-13%) 2mo $300,000 $146 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.47% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$39,005
Equity at exit
$49,442
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$107,066
Equity at exit
$56,119

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34773

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
383
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$462 /mo · $5,547/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$617
Net cashflow
$813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,911
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-16
    price $185,000
  3. 2026-04-03
    listed $255,000 Active
  4. 2026-01-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  5. 2026-01-05
    status Pending 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  6. 2025-12-29
    historical 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  7. 2025-12-23
    price $179,000
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  8. 2025-12-23
    price $179,000 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  9. 2025-11-17
    listed $215,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  10. 2025-11-17
    listed $215,000 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    This double-wide manufactured home sits on a . 94-acre lot and is full of potential for the right buyer. The home requires some renovation, making it an ideal project for investors, flippers, or anyone looking to start fresh. With the space to reimagine both the home and the land, this is your chance to transform a blank slate into something truly special. Bring your vision and make it your own!This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978,Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. ''Due to the condition, the property may have health/safety risk(s). Prior to entry / access, all parties must sign a Hold Harmless''

  11. 2025-08-31
    historical
  12. 2025-08-05
    status Active
  13. 2025-08-05
    status Active
  14. 2025-07-17
    historical
  15. 2025-07-11
    listed $215,000 Active
  16. 2025-07-11
    listed $215,000 Active
  17. 2019-11-13
    soldstatus $189,000
  18. 2019-11-08
    soldstatus $189,000 Sold
  19. 2019-09-10
    status Pending
  20. 2019-08-31
    listed $189,000 Active
  21. 2014-06-14
    status Pending
  22. 2014-06-10
    historical
  23. 2014-06-05
    soldstatus $79,000
  24. 2014-05-27
    soldstatus $79,000 Sold
  25. 2014-05-05
    status Pending
  26. 2014-04-18
    status Active
  27. 2014-04-05
    status Pending
  28. 2014-01-10
    listed $89,000 Active
  29. 2013-05-23
    soldstatus $37,790
  30. 2013-02-15
    listed $37,900
  31. 2006-04-21
    historical
  32. 2006-03-22
    listed $155,000
  33. 2005-09-27
    historical
  34. 2005-06-15
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,547 · $462/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,547 · $462/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,280
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$5,547
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,822
− Management
−$2,822
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$7,418
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,780
After-tax cash flow
$7,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — Saint Cloud

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Osceola County · 410,217 people
City population
106,667
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,816
Household income
$80,524
Rent vs Own
10.2% rent · 89.8% own
Severe rent burden
47.0

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.47%
Current HPI
279.5662
Rent YoY
▲ 1.79%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.4% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Pending SCMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $179,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $215,000 SCMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-05 Relisted SCMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listing Removed SCMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $215,000 SCMLS
  • 2019-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
  • 2019-11-08 Sold (MLS) $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-31 Listed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-14 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-10 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2014-05-27 Sold (MLS) $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-05-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-18 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-10 Listed $89,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $37,790 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-15 Listed $37,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-21 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-22 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-27 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-15 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,547 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…