1513 Leahy Ave · Pawhuska, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$152,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Shed(s); Cross fenced and full fencing; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Oven; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range connection; Gas oven connection; Aluminum window frames; Insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-646/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#37 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Pawhuska (town): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #248 of 270 in OK (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
- Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $121k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.52%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,744
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 W 17th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+4%) | 1mo | $168,900 | $115 | 73 |
| 1721 Big Hill Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (+4%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $14 | 72 |
| 720 E 11th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,409 (+0%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $11 | 64 |
| 1618 Bigheart Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+12%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $51 | 56 |
| 1611 Claremore Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (-9%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 1721 Revard | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,548 (+10%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $158 | 50 |
| 2113 Mckenzie Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (-6%) | 20mo | $161,500 | $122 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $37,721
- Equity at exit
- $92,680
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $114,329
- Equity at exit
- $165,646
Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74056
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $-54
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,000
- Closing costs
- $4,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-09price $152,000
-
2026-02-27status Active
-
2026-02-16status Pending
-
2026-02-14$155,000 Active
-
2020-07-20soldstatus $121,000
-
2020-07-09soldstatus $121,000 Closed 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-04-29status Pending 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-04-27status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-03-25historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-03-18status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-02-26status Pending 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
-
2020-02-03$128,000 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
Wonderfully updated classic home. The current owners have done a good job of maintaining the integrity of the home as they remodeled including the 9- 10 ft ceilings. Custom made oak cabinets in the kitchen that includes 2 large pantries. There are 2 living areas but one could be used as a formal dining room if desired. Central H/A is less than 1 year old. Raised vegetable beds in the backyard include a mature asparagus bed, red grapes and compost bin. This home qualifies for USDA 100% financing WAC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,249 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 9.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,514
- − Property taxes
- −$1,249
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$4,422
- Taxable loss
- −$3,325
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$798
- After-tax cash flow
- $152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawhuska
- NCES district ID
- 4023580
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,773
- Composite
- 8.98/100
- National rank
- #9883
- State rank
- #248 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pawhuska
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #7514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawhuska, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,874
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,950 people
- By 2030
- 48,936 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 47,826 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 45,781 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 41,140 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 32,796 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Native American 27% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Current HPI
- 296.6482
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+18.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $152,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-27 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-16 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-14 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) $121,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-04-29 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-04-27 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-03-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-03-18 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-02-26 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-02-03 Listed $128,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+14.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,249 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…