7655 Varo Gln · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Pima - The first floor of this two-story home is host to a spacious open floorplan that seamlessly connects an inviting family room, elegant dining room and chef-inspired kitchen. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Open floorplan
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.48%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,259
- List price
- $144,999
- Delta
- -16.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7662 Varo Gln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,360 (0%) | 1mo | $142,999 | $105 | 99 |
| 7654 Varo Gln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,360 (0%) | 1mo | $146,999 | $108 | 99 |
| 7617 Barcelo Way | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,360 (0%) | 2mo | $160,999 | $118 | 98 |
| 7602 India Star | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+1%) | 1mo | $155,999 | $113 | 90 |
| 7618 India Star | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+1%) | 1mo | $144,999 | $105 | 90 |
| 7622 India Star | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (+2%) | 2mo | $172,999 | $125 | 88 |
| 7626 India Star | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-11%) | 1mo | $149,999 | $124 | 79 |
| 7650 Varo Gln | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,189 (-13%) | 1mo | $130,999 | $110 | 78 |
| 7427 Spinel Way | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,483 (+9%) | 1mo | $179,999 | $121 | 77 |
| 7411 Spinel Way | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,483 (+9%) | 1mo | $174,999 | $118 | 77 |
| 7659 Varo Gln | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,535 (+13%) | 1mo | $155,999 | $102 | 73 |
| 7658 Varo Gln | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,535 (+13%) | 1mo | $152,999 | $100 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-18,069
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,503
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78263
- Home prices YoY
- -8.1%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,509 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$106
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $184 | -5% $134 | +0% $84 | +5% $34 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-35 | -5% $24 | +0% $84 | +5% $143 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $157 | -0.5pp $121 | base $84 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8523 Logan Sapphire San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,500 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 7306 India Star San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 8511 Opal Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,475 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7316 Green Sapphire San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $106 · $1,272/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07status $144,999 Pending 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $144,999 Price Change 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,999 Price Change 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,999 Price Change 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,999 Price Change 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,999 Price Change 89 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $168,499 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
The Pima - The first floor of this two-story home is host to a spacious open floorplan that seamlessly connects an inviting family room, elegant dining room and chef-inspired kitchen. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-12price $167,999 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
The Pima - The first floor of this two-story home is host to a spacious open floorplan that seamlessly connects an inviting family room, elegant dining room and chef-inspired kitchen. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-03-03$165,999 New 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
The Pima - The first floor of this two-story home is host to a spacious open floorplan that seamlessly connects an inviting family room, elegant dining room and chef-inspired kitchen. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms, including the luxe owner's suite, which features a restful bedroom, en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet. Estimated Completion June 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,105
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,448
- − Management
- −$1,448
- − HOA
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,305
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This two-story home is move-in ready with a spacious open floorplan and modern finishes. It offers excellent curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Central ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817850
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,941
- Composite
- 18.67/100
- National rank
- #8887
- State rank
- #758 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,514
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 43% Two or more races 24% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.29%
- Current HPI
- 322.4738
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+1.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $168,499 LERA
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $167,999 LERA
- 2026-03-03 Listed $165,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…