1867 Grover Rd · Charleston, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention all Investor/Rehab/Renovation Buyers - This property is 1 of 30 being sold by the Seller and can be purchased individually or as a group. A fantastic opportunity for investors, owner-occupants, or anyone looking for a renovation project. PLEASE NOTE: Properties are being sold strictly as-is and Seller will make no modifications or repairs. If square footage is important, please measure. Seller has set a call for offers to ensure all interested parties have equal opportunity to preview the homes, so please send your highest and best offer when you submit. * * * DUE TO TROPICAL STORM DEBBY the NEW OFFER DEADLINE is SUNDAY, 8/18/2024 at 11:59PM. * * * Seller will not respond to
Key facts
- Investor buyers
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1985
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (2.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $272k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.4% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in SC, #3,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Charleston 01 (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #7 of 80 in SC (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mt. Zion Elementary (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #344 of 597 statewide, top 60%, 258 students, 100% FRL); Haut Gap Middle (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #68 of 229 statewide, top 31%, 444 students, 100% FRL); St. Johns High (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 387 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 44% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 568 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,156 units permitted in Charleston County in 2024 (857 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charleston County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $280k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.40%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $357,236
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3020 Marlin Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+8%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $353 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-31,310
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-9,429
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29455
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 568
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,731 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $416 | -5% $319 | +0% $222 | +5% $126 | +10% $29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7 | -5% $114 | +0% $222 | +5% $330 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $363 | -0.5pp $294 | base $222 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 Wildts Battery Blvd Johns Island, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $2,444 | $2.65 | 4d | 10 | 0.20mi |
| 3021 Maybank Hwy Johns Island, SC | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1443 | $2,810 | $1.95 | 4d | 5 | 0.38mi |
| 555 Linger Longer Dr Johns Island, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $3,199 | $3.14 | 4d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 60 Fenwick Hall Allee #616 Johns Island, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,999 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1165 Saint Pauls Parrish Ln Johns Island, SC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $2,800 | $2.06 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2815 Summertrees Blvd Johns Island, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2024-09-10status Pending
-
2024-09-10status Active
-
2024-08-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-08-01$280,000 Active
-
1990-07-13soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,622
- − Management
- −$2,622
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$1,904
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$457
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleston 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501440
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,376
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3018
- State rank
- #7 of 80 in SC
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #3336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charleston County · 366,793 people
- City population
- 200,573
- Metro
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,576
- Household income
- $121,372
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 304.0
Population outlook (Charleston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,562 people
- By 2030
- 525,921 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 612,189 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 691,627 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 847,979 · +76.5%
- By 2100
- 926,482 · +92.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Charleston
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 51.9% · R 46.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+12.9 2016: D+7.9 2012: D+2.4 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.02%
- Current HPI
- 297.7408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+460.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-10 Pending — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-09-10 Relisted — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-08-24 Contingent — Charleston Trident MLS
- 2024-08-01 Listed $280,000 Charleston Trident MLS
- 1990-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2022): $171 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…