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2050 89a -- #99
B+ Composite 75.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$116,500

2050 89a -- #99 · Cottonwood, AZ 86326
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · Manufactured · 156 Days on market
Built 1997 Est $168k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 x 2 Cavco unit. Roof is 1 year new. Open floor plan, all appliances stay & some furniture. Smoker once lived in home. Patio in front recently stained & enclosed area for a pet. Pest Inspection done and work completed 2024. Home ready for move in and for your personal touch! Shady spot on side with room for Fido. Open floor plan with 1340 sq feet. Gas stove & gas furnace. Pine Shadows is a 55 plus community with access to 2 pools, 2 recreation centers, pickleball courts & many fun activities. Close to shopping, hospital , medical & Old Town Cottonwood. Great area for both active or quiet seniors Make new friends and enjoy all this community has to offer at a very affordable price. Leased Land , 55 plus park. Taxes under 250 a year. Park approval required. Lending available

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Community clubhouse
  • Pickleball

Tags

COMMUNITY CLUBHOUSEFITNESS CENTERPICKLEBALLCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private pickleball court confirmed; Spa features: heated
  • HOA & community: Land lease of $875 per month; No association fees included; Community amenities: pool, pickleball, community spa (heated), fitness center

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile housing; Leasehold ownership; Desert, panoramic and mountain views
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private pickleball court(s); Hand/racquetball courts; Private streets; On-site storage; Desert front landscaping; Gravel/stone front and back yard; City-maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating provided; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Furnished (see remarks); Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Skylights; Dual-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $926 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.8% in Cottonwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AZ, #2,176 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
  • Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487) (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #174 of 249 in AZ (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cottonwood Community School (math 8% / reading 13%, grade F, #993 of 1,109 statewide, top 91%, 500 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,191/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 894% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $805 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $97k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $102,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.83%
Cash-on-cash
34.05%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2050 W State Route 89a -- #158 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,334 (-0%) 5mo $130,000 $97 90
2050 W SR 89a -- #104 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+9%) 1mo $118,000 $81 85
972 Trevino Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,382 (+3%) 2mo $179,900 $130 82
2050 W State Route 89a -- #86 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+0%) 2mo $35,000 $26 80
2050 W State Route 89-a -- #92 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+0%) 4mo $145,000 $108 79
2050 W State Route 89a -- #181 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,216 (-9%) 0mo $120,000 $99 78
2050 W State Route 89a -- #152 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+0%) 0mo $205,000 $153 77
2050 W St Route 89a -- #273 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 7mo $150,000 $104 77
992 Trevino Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,431 (+7%) 3mo $195,000 $136 75
1139 W On The Greens Blvd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+5%) 8mo $245,000 $175 71
511 Mingus Shadows Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,325 (-1%) 3mo $262,500 $198 67
1065 Crenshaw Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 2mo $180,000 $125 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$33,684
Equity at exit
$17,371
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$80,561
Equity at exit
$10,073

Cash invested: $32,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86326

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,191 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$611
Tax est. 1.5%
$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$926

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,019
Max offer price $116,500
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,125
Closing costs
$3,495
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
992 Sterling Ln Cottonwood, AZ 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,395 $1.45 21d 1 0.23mi
1910 W Trail Blazer Dr Cottonwood, AZ 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,900 $2.27 13d 1 0.95mi
255 S Cottonwood Ranch Rd Cottonwood, AZ 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,195 $1.29 13d 1 0.98mi
844 Tiablanca Rd Clarkdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1333 $1,995 $1.50 13d 1 1.34mi
564 Crossbar Ln Cottonwood, AZ 3.0 2.0 1290 $2,250 $1.74 13d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $116,500 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $116,500 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $116,500 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $116,500 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $116,500 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,500 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $116,500 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,500 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $116,500 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $116,500 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $116,500 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $116,500 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,500 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $116,500 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $116,500 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $116,500 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-03-02
    price $116,999
  18. 2026-01-11
    listed $119,999 Active
  19. 2024-10-01
    soldstatus $97,000 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    2 x 2 Cavco unit. Roof is 1 year new. Open floor plan, all appliances stay & some furniture. Smoker once lived in home. Patio in front recently stained & enclosed area for a pet. Pest Inspection done and work completed 2024. Home ready for move in and for your personal touch! Shady spot on side with room for Fido. Open floor plan with 1340 sq feet. Gas stove & gas furnace. Pine Shadows is a 55 plus community with access to 2 pools, 2 recreation centers, pickleball courts & many fun activities. Close to shopping, hospital , medical & Old Town Cottonwood. Great area for both active or quiet seniors Make new friends and enjoy all this community has to offer at a very affordable price. Leased Land , 55 plus park. Taxes under 250 a year. Park approval required. Lending available

  20. 2024-02-19
    listed $99,000 812-char remark
    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    2 x 2 Cavco unit. Roof is 1 year new. Open floor plan, all appliances stay & some furniture. Smoker once lived in home. Patio in front recently stained & enclosed area for a pet. Pest Inspection done and work completed 2024. Home ready for move in and for your personal touch! Shady spot on side with room for Fido. Open floor plan with 1340 sq feet. Gas stove & gas furnace. Pine Shadows is a 55 plus community with access to 2 pools, 2 recreation centers, pickleball courts & many fun activities. Close to shopping, hospital , medical & Old Town Cottonwood. Great area for both active or quiet seniors Make new friends and enjoy all this community has to offer at a very affordable price. Leased Land , 55 plus park. Taxes under 250 a year. Park approval required. Lending available

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,289
− Mortgage interest
−$6,526
− Property taxes
−$1,748
− Insurance
−$582
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,103
− Management
−$2,103
− Depreciation
−$3,389
Taxable income
$9,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,361
After-tax cash flow
$8,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487)
NCES district ID
0402370
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,740
Composite
19.16/100
National rank
#8822
State rank
#174 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Cottonwood

Score
79/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#2176

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cottonwood, AZ
County
Yavapai County · 190,406 people
City population
24,852
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Population (ZIP)
24,852
Household income
$57,378
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
894.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.27%
Current HPI
347.5058
Rent YoY
▼ -0.22%
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $116,999 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $119,999 ARMLS
  • 2024-10-01 Sold (MLS) $97,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-02-19 Listed $99,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…