302 3rd St · Renick, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- New carpet
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; One story
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($615/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Renick R-V (rural): math 25% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #338 of 535 in MO (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Renick Elem. (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 84 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randolph County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $140k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.57%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-19,403
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-12,615
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65270
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $51
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $100 | +0% $51 | +5% $3 | +10% $-46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-51 | -5% $0 | +0% $51 | +5% $102 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $87 | base $51 | +0.5pp $15 | +1.0pp $-22 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$140,000 Active
-
2023-08-16historical 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.
-
2021-10-22soldstatus 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being Sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. Property is in Renick.
-
2021-10-08$15,000 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being Sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. Property is in Renick.
-
2021-09-24$15,000 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.
-
2012-02-21soldstatus $15,000
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2002-03-19soldstatus $14,000
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1994-11-03soldstatus
-
1994-03-21soldstatus
-
1990-03-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Renick R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2926190
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,169
- Composite
- 35.11/100
- National rank
- #9898
- State rank
- #338 of 535 in MO
Livability — Renick
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #21902
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Renick, MO
- City population
- 57
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,762
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,596 people
- By 2030
- 24,213 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 23,184 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 22,081 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 18,994 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 15,070 · -38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.3% · R 75.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -52.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.15%
- Current HPI
- 199.9743
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $140,000 RCBR
- 2023-08-16 Delisted — RCBR
- 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 2021-10-08 Listed $15,000 CBORMLS
- 2021-09-24 Listed $15,000 RCBR
- 2012-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1994-11-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-03-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $223 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…