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302 3rd St
D Composite 43.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

302 3rd St · Renick, MO 65270
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • New carpet
  • New water heater

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDNEW LVP FLOORINGNEW CARPETNEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATERNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One story
  • Construction: Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $51 ($615/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Renick R-V (rural): math 25% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #338 of 535 in MO (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Renick Elem. (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 84 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $140k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $128,955 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.57%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-19,403
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,615
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65270

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $148 -5% $100 +0% $51 +5% $3 +10% $-46
Rent -10% $-51 -5% $0 +0% $51 +5% $102 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $122 -0.5pp $87 base $51 +0.5pp $15 +1.0pp $-22

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-29
    listed $140,000 Active
  18. 2023-08-16
    historical 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.

  19. 2021-10-22
    soldstatus 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being Sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. Property is in Renick.

  20. 2021-10-08
    listed $15,000 246-char remark
    Show marketing remark (246 chars)

    Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being Sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. Property is in Renick.

  21. 2021-09-24
    listed $15,000 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    Handyman Special. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath house can be a gem. Floor in Kitchen & Bath needs some repair due to a water leak. Has been used as a rental. Being sold As-Is. No warranties or repairs. Priced for quick sale. This property is in Renick.

  22. 2012-02-21
    soldstatus $15,000
  23. 2002-03-19
    soldstatus $14,000
  24. 1994-11-03
    soldstatus
  25. 1994-03-21
    soldstatus
  26. 1990-03-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,475
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$412
After-tax cash flow
$1,027/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Renick R-V
NCES district ID
2926190
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$52,169
Composite
35.11/100
National rank
#9898
State rank
#338 of 535 in MO

Livability — Renick

Score
57/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#21902

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Renick, MO
City population
57
Population (ZIP)
16,762

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,596 people
By 2030
24,213 · -1.6%
By 2040
23,184 · -5.7%
By 2050
22,081 · -10.2%
By 2075
18,994 · -22.8%
By 2100
15,070 · -38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.2) · D 23.3% · R 75.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.9pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -52.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.2 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+50.9 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.15%
Current HPI
199.9743
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $140,000 RCBR
  • 2023-08-16 Delisted RCBR
  • 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 2021-10-08 Listed $15,000 CBORMLS
  • 2021-09-24 Listed $15,000 RCBR
  • 2012-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 1994-11-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-03-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $223 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…