2205 Mint Julep Ct · Lawrenceville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS DUE BY MONDAY, MAY 4TH AT 12 NOON. Exceptional value-add opportunity in a convenient North Metro Atlanta location! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath property features two living areas and two kitchens, offering flexible space ideal for renovation, rental income, or potential multi-generational living. Perfect setup for a private caretaker's suite or separate living quarters. Two-sided brick construction and a 2-car garage provide solid bones for your vision. With updates and improvements, this property presents strong fix-and-flip potential or a smart addition to a rental portfolio. Bring your contractor and imagination - opportunity awaits!
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1990
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Electricity available, sewer available, water available, underground utilities
- Home design: One-level home; Brick-front exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Brick front construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard fencing; Asphalt road frontage on a county road; Please use GPS for directions
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in country-style kitchen with stained cabinets and laminate counters; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Master on main; Roommate floor plan; Split bedroom plan; 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating
- Interior features: Double vanity; No shared/common walls; Den, Family Room, Kitchen, Master Bedroom, Master Bathroom, and other rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in common area and in kitchen (other location noted)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (19.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (22.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.8% in Lawrenceville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in GA, #473 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Hill Elementary School (math 31% / reading 34%, grade F, #575 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 900 students, 78% FRL); Discovery High School (math 15% / reading 18%, grade F, #284 of 424 statewide, top 67%, 2,803 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 47% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 402 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.67%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $352,963
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -29.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2205 Mint Julep Ct | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,718 (0%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $157 | 99 |
| 2720 Kentshire Way | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,765 (+3%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $193 | 61 |
| 1849 Forkview Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $213 | 59 |
| 1840 Forkview Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $213 | 58 |
| 1850 Forkview Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $213 | 58 |
| 1830 Forkview Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 5mo | $360,000 | $213 | 56 |
| 1859 Forkview Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 5mo | $360,000 | $213 | 55 |
| 358 Forkview Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,689 (-2%) | 6mo | $360,000 | $213 | 52 |
| 1995 Plantation Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,597 (-7%) | 7mo | $368,500 | $231 | 52 |
| 1941 Rocky Mill Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,812 (+6%) | 2mo | $344,000 | $190 | 48 |
| 2220 Laurelton Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,895 (+10%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $185 | 44 |
| 2287 Stancrest Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,925 (+12%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $179 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-63,500
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -43.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.42×
- Total profit
- $-99,394
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30044
- Rents YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 402
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,950 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$397 /mo · $4,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-131 | -5% $-202 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-343 | +10% $-414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-427 | -5% $-350 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-196 | +10% $-119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-147 | -0.5pp $-209 | base $-273 | +0.5pp $-337 | +1.0pp $-403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Kentshire Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1823 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 62 Kirkhill Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1921 | $2,079 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 200 Kentshire Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,300 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 173 Patterson Close Ct Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,886 | $1.39 | 6d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1961 Patterson Park Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 52 Burns View Ct Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,195 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 52 Burns View Ct Unit 53L Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,195 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1945 Patterson Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $825 | $0.66 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1945 Patterson Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $800 | $0.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 415 Ridgedale Way Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2031 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2099 Morning Dew Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,876 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2104 Wheylon Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2089 Morning Dew Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,275 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 749 Flowers Xing Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2167 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 353 Ansley Brook Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 330 Holdings Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1830 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1888 Patterson Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $750 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1888 Patterson Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 232 Braemore Mill Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1892 | $2,100 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2559 Irwell Way Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1928 | $2,500 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2619 Irwell Way Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1948 | $2,700 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 342 Braemore Mill Dr Unit 1 Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1901 | $2,195 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 50 Saint Marlowe Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,622 | $1.51 | 0d | 14 | 1.14mi |
| 759 Glen Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,345 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2567 Kings Way Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,899 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2161 Oakland Grove Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1752 | $2,400 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 64 Davis Mill Ct Unit 64 Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2052 | $1,925 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 211 Murphy Ave Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1730 | $2,465 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-04status Under Contract 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS DUE BY MONDAY, MAY 4TH AT 12 NOON. Exceptional value-add opportunity in a convenient North Metro Atlanta location! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath property features two living areas and two kitchens, offering flexible space ideal for renovation, rental income, or potential multi-generational living. Perfect setup for a private caretaker's suite or separate living quarters. Two-sided brick construction and a 2-car garage provide solid bones for your vision. With updates and improvements, this property presents strong fix-and-flip potential or a smart addition to a rental portfolio. Bring your contractor and imagination - opportunity awaits!
-
2026-05-04status Pending 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS DUE BY MONDAY, MAY 4TH AT 12 NOON. Exceptional value-add opportunity in a convenient North Metro Atlanta location! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath property features two living areas and two kitchens, offering flexible space ideal for renovation, rental income, or potential multi-generational living. Perfect setup for a private caretaker's suite or separate living quarters. Two-sided brick construction and a 2-car garage provide solid bones for your vision. With updates and improvements, this property presents strong fix-and-flip potential or a smart addition to a rental portfolio. Bring your contractor and imagination - opportunity awaits!
-
2026-04-30$250,000 Active 700-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical $250,000 700-char remark
-
2026-04-27$250,000 New 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS DUE BY MONDAY, MAY 4TH AT 12 NOON. Exceptional value-add opportunity in a convenient North Metro Atlanta location! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath property features two living areas and two kitchens, offering flexible space ideal for renovation, rental income, or potential multi-generational living. Perfect setup for a private caretaker's suite or separate living quarters. Two-sided brick construction and a 2-car garage provide solid bones for your vision. With updates and improvements, this property presents strong fix-and-flip potential or a smart addition to a rental portfolio. Bring your contractor and imagination - opportunity awaits!
-
2004-10-12soldstatus $150,000
-
1995-10-04soldstatus $70,000
-
1990-02-07soldstatus $19,000
-
1990-01-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,770 · $397/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,770 · $397/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$4,770
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,872
- − Management
- −$1,872
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$7,645
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,835
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinnett County
- NCES district ID
- 1302550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,416
- Composite
- 36.5/100
- National rank
- #4648
- State rank
- #32 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lawrenceville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #473
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gwinnett County · 952,346 people
- City population
- 276,247
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 101,475
- Household income
- $77,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3075.0
Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,106,028 people
- By 2030
- 1,211,414 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 1,422,277 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 1,623,204 · +46.8%
- By 2075
- 2,105,240 · +90.3%
- By 2100
- 2,443,321 · +120.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 28% White 21% Asian 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -304.00%
- Current HPI
- 241.2788
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.78%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1321.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-20 Sold (MLS) $270,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-20 Sold (MLS) $270,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $250,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $250,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $250,000 GAMLS
- 2004-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1990-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1990-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,770 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…