1231 E 346th St · Eastlake, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Many Updates * Move Right In * Front * Rear Decks Storage Shed & Large Storage Attic
Key facts
- Vaulted ceiling
- Large living room
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $812 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.8% vs local median 4.7% in Eastlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#550 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Willoughby-Eastlake City (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #434 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.72%
- DSCR
- 4.10
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,569
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1270 E 348th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+9%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 1278 Hulett Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (-4%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $150 | 73 |
| 1041 E 349th St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 887 (-6%) | 8mo | $166,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 1380 E 345th St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-9%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 1262 E 346th St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (+12%) | 3mo | $171,900 | $163 | 67 |
| 1316 E 362nd St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+1%) | 9mo | $160,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 483 E 330th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,047 (+12%) | 0mo | $179,000 | $171 | 46 |
| 1470 E 332nd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,046 (+11%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $129 | 42 |
| 34682 Iris Ln | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (+10%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $213 | 41 |
| 460 E 329th St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (+12%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $191 | 36 |
| 34633 Glen Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,078 (+15%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $213 | 35 |
| 35517 Glen Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,066 (+14%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $258 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $46,354
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 75.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.49×
- Total profit
- $118,588
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44095
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,464 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $812
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $846 | -5% $829 | +0% $812 | +5% $795 | +10% $777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $696 | -5% $754 | +0% $812 | +5% $870 | +10% $927 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $837 | -0.5pp $824 | base $812 | +0.5pp $799 | +1.0pp $786 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33201 Vine St Willowick, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,200 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1323 E 360th St Eastlake, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,599 | $1.54 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 360 E 326th St Willowick, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,447 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-03$49,900 Active
-
1996-07-17soldstatus $69,900 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Many Updates * Move Right In * Front * Rear Decks Storage Shed & Large Storage Attic
-
1996-07-15soldstatus $69,900
-
1996-05-01$69,900 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
Many Updates * Move Right In * Front * Rear Decks Storage Shed & Large Storage Attic
-
1989-06-06soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $9,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,283
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willoughby-Eastlake City
- NCES district ID
- 3904510
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,500
- Composite
- 42.96/100
- National rank
- #3110
- State rank
- #434 of 656 in OH
Livability — Eastlake
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #550
- US rank
- #9388
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eastlake, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 32,363
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,363
- Household income
- $71,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 590.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.78%
- Current HPI
- 171.8121
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+132.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-03 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
- 1996-07-17 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MLSNOW
- 1996-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 1996-05-01 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 1989-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,513 · +32.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…