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511 Dixie St
B Composite 72.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$65,000

511 Dixie St · Parma, MO 63870
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1966 7,492 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

SPACIOUS YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#906 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • New Madrid County R-I (rural): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #291 of 324 in MO (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in New Madrid County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $579 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $130 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • New Madrid County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
14.16%
Cash-on-cash
28.10%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$25,841
Equity at exit
$19,524
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$66,614
Equity at exit
$23,995

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63870

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,041 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $336/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $501
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-02-23
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

  2. 2026-01-08
    price $65,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

  3. 2025-10-08
    status Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

  4. 2025-09-25
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

  5. 2025-08-29
    listed $70,000 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a peaceful street. You’ll love the spacious yard and the large screened-in entertainment area—perfect for hosting gatherings or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A must-see property that combines comfort, charm, and functionality.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$336 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$630 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$294/yr (+$25/mo · 87.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,489
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$336
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,032
After-tax cash flow
$4,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Madrid County R-I
NCES district ID
2900004
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,286
Composite
20.64/100
National rank
#8543
State rank
#291 of 324 in MO

Livability — Parma

Score
50/100
State rank
#906
US rank
#25639

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parma, MO
Population (ZIP)
1,058

Population outlook (New Madrid County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,712 people
By 2030
15,845 · -5.2%
By 2040
14,152 · -15.3%
By 2050
12,604 · -24.6%
By 2075
9,478 · -43.3%
By 2100
7,157 · -57.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 15% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · New Madrid

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.9% · R 76.4%
2008→2024 swing
-38.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+20.3 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.20%
Current HPI
205.8215
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-25 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $336 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…